TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Rinky Hijikata

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Rinky Hijikata
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,365 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Rinky Hijikata3c37,110$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.068,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rinky Hijikata11c26,726$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.752,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Rinky Hijikata13c14,492$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.141,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Adam Walton45c8,472$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,690.5510650%53 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Rinky Hijikata57c4,473$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.9856757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rinky Hijikata23c3,947$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.232,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Adam Walton63c3,775$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.2980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Rinky Hijikata58c2,567$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044263.6%281 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Rinky Hijikata28c2,346$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.6215826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Adam Walton43c2,316$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.7131332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Rinky Hijikata70c2,059$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43740748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Rinky Hijikata34c2,028$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6951,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Adam Walton43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14016737.1%62 W · 105 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Rinky Hijikata25c1,945$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2328726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Rinky Hijikata55c1,900$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.987850%39 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rinky Hijikata55c1,772$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.181,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Rinky Hijikata15c1,721$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25671725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Rinky Hijikata32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa550…09cdbacked Adam Walton73c1,477$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Adam Walton71c1,404$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.842,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rinky Hijikata23c1,268$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7329952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rinky Hijikata37c1,181$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.413,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Adam Walton46c1,123$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.725433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Rinky Hijikata26c1,007$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8544038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Rinky Hijikata51c944.59$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.747064.3%45 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Adam Walton47c932$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2620336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Rinky Hijikata22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052133%172 W · 349 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Rinky Hijikata55c905.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Rinky Hijikata30c872.43$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.234443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rinky Hijikata53c852$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.661,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Rinky Hijikata26c851$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4526941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Adam Walton47c850.44$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.4412030%36 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Adam Walton45c785.6$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.0820043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Adam Walton69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.643647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Rinky Hijikata35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24557649.5%285 W · 291 L-32.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rinky Hijikata42c684.88$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.389,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Adam Walton37c684.01$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.5924844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Rinky Hijikata28c678$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Rinky Hijikata57c634.81$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36073558.6%431 W · 304 L-26.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Rinky Hijikata22c633.45$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6659721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Adam Walton70c604.67$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Adam Walton59c577$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5747552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Rinky Hijikata30c564.19$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.250731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Rinky Hijikata56c538.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Adam Walton52c520$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.47639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Adam Walton44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28022449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Rinky Hijikata28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Rinky Hijikata56c494$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6438955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Rinky Hijikata28c493.78$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.442,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Rinky Hijikata21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Rinky Hijikata24c467$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Rinky Hijikata42c437.76$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1859453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rinky Hijikata55c396$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2f…1bffbacked Adam Walton55c360$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Rinky Hijikata30c333.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Rinky Hijikata22c313.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc89b…f512backed Rinky Hijikata48c295.31$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.173040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Rinky Hijikata35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010648.1%51 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Rinky Hijikata56c278.57$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15541955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Rinky Hijikata34c278.03$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.294,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Rinky Hijikata29c269.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9792145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Adam Walton60c267.28$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.412,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Adam Walton57c247.37$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Rinky Hijikata43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012538.4%48 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Rinky Hijikata55c227.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Rinky Hijikata56c227$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.121,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Adam Walton76c220$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.86167.2%41 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Adam Walton48c219.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.255250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Rinky Hijikata57c218.77$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12565250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Rinky Hijikata23c217.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rinky Hijikata53c214.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.772,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Rinky Hijikata47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008345.8%38 W · 45 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c9b…a28abacked Rinky Hijikata10c211$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Adam Walton60c210$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.56221%13 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Rinky Hijikata56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11240744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Adam Walton55c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.352,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Adam Walton51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Rinky Hijikata53c190.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.951,10752.8%585 W · 522 L+2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d0…39f3backed Rinky Hijikata55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.57057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Rinky Hijikata58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.425546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Rinky Hijikata56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Rinky Hijikata57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Rinky Hijikata53c173.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9112032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Rinky Hijikata29c170.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3936333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Adam Walton45c170$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.599255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Rinky Hijikata56c169.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2442358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Adam Walton42c161.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.141,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Rinky Hijikata56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Rinky Hijikata26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Rinky Hijikata56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8414949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rinky Hijikata10c143.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.831,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Rinky Hijikata29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Adam Walton49c137.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3118460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Rinky Hijikata53c136.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0e…7454backed Rinky Hijikata22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rinky Hijikata39c131.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.922,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2042…f9e7backed Adam Walton76c131.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.482147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Rinky Hijikata56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Adam Walton63c123$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.844027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Adam Walton44c118.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1926050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.