TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc89b…f512

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$103.68
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.08
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.32
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.88
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$80.6
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.88
Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$71.54
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$168.62
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$78.24
Morelia: Alexis Galarneau vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$179.3
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147.98
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.38
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.87
Yokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.78
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$189.77
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.36
Miami Open: Dalma Galfi vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$121
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.35
Asuncion: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.52
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.96
Miami Open: Sofia Kenin vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$49.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,248.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+170.3%+$1,702.7
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.8%+$617.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$82.67
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.61
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.41
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$84.28
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$46.24
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$67.5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.55
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$67.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$112.5
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.2
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.63
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.04
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$81.28
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.36
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$141.12
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.27
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$74.64
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.55
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$108.78
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$126.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$40.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$101.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.6%+$318.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$42.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$369.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,705.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.