TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,010 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over51c80,000$40,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,799.9243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c15,627$7,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,955.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3637…5e99backed Under49c11,819$5,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,027.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c11,020$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.4148546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c10,337$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,271.462,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c10,246$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,211.054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over51c9,943$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,060.741,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Under49c9,592$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.841662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Under48c5,116$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.089733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.638154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c4,065$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04015545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under52c3,488$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.755030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5302,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,593$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.323,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c2,561$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.2234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.038429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over50c2,487$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.2317850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over51c2,269$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c2,021$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.492,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c1,990$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over51c1,964$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,851$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91829650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c1,182$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.1221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,143$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under51c947.79$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.4238750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c877.55$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c568.3$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c534$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.92,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under49c475.14$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3818235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c450$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c396.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.213,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over51c392.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9918147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c324.18$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.824,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c219$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0826956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0814156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0817353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under49c203.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8322154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c173.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c161.11$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.792,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2930641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c154.11$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over51c147.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c145.6$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89b…f512backed Over25c115$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.751030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under51c104.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0820762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4840053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5114151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Over52c98.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over51c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4323946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.281,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over35c76.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.896553.8%35 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under49c75.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under49c75.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under51c65.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over34c60.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c58.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…afd8backed Under51c58.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.532857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under56c45.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under49c44.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.629553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.416951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798c…e64cbacked Under69c39.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.14748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over31c39.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8346447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under45c25.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over51c21.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1252552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under49c21.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0945653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddd…c32ebacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.