NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3eee36540900289f57bdeb8538c28e347324ec18f86fec79bde4979b968186c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,010 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,799.92 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 15,627$7,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,955.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…5e99backed Under | 49c | 11,819$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 11,020$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.41 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 10,337$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 10,246$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 51c | 9,943$5,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.74 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Under | 49c | 9,592$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Under | 48c | 5,116$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.08 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 4,065$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 52c | 3,488$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.75 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 2,593$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 2,561$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.22 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 50c | 2,487$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.23 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 51c | 2,269$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 2,021$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 1,990$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.85 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,851$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.12 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 947.79$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.42 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 877.55$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.55 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 568.3$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 534$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 49c | 475.14$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 450$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.06 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 396.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.21 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 324.18$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 219$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 49c | 203.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 161.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 56c | 160$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 154.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 51c | 147.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 50c | 145.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Over | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 51c | 104.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 51c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Over | 35c | 76.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 49c | 75.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 75.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 65.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 34c | 60.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 58.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…afd8backed Under | 51c | 58.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 45.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 49c | 44.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…e64cbacked Under | 69c | 39.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 39.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 45c | 25.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 51c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 49c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…c32ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.