NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6242976d7bb0e8ee1fd4a413985c2db8a856205c7eb32d230071036f4408010

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $77,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,364 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Over	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,599.99	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over	52c	12,327$6,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,374.07	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	5,587$2,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,954.81	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under	49c	4,947$2,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,523.06	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	4,751$2,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,513.49	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	47c	4,009$1,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,124.77	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	47c	3,870$1,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,051.1	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Over	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	47c	3,761$1,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,993.34	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under	49c	3,644$1,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,858.44	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	48c	2,776$1,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,434.27	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under	47c	2,550$1,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,351.35	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	2,416$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.65	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	2,195$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.33	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Over	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	53c	1,674$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.23	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under	47c	1,515$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.02	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over	51c	971.5$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over	53c	943.38$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over	50c	914.39$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.2	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under	47c	851.85$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.48	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under	49c	744.9$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.9	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under	52c	672.8$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.31	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	47c	490.25$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.83	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	52c	480$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.4	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over	50c	406$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under	51c	362.39$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.57	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	48c	354.36$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.45	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	53c	295.5$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.61	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under	47c	255.32$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.32	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	45c	253.75$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.56	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	47c	231.12$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.49	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	186.58$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.71	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4819…abcebacked Under	48c	184$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under	47c	180.85$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.85	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcd…50f1backed Over	51c	180.39$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	48c	168$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.36	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb1…247dbacked Under	48c	144$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	53c	137.96$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.64	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	50c	121.2$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.6	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+29.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	47c	91.71$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.69	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed Over	50c	88.06$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.03	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53da…2921backed Over	52c	82$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b2…d03abacked Under	51c	79.61$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over	53c	76.06$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.21	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	43c	75.97$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.62	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over	51c	73.6$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Over	53c	66.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	48c	65.55$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.09	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	47c	60.57$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.12	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under	51c	58.9$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.92	241	50.2%121 W · 120 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over	51c	56.76$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…5b6cbacked Over	52c	52$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb6…801ebacked Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63e0…6d2dbacked Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	46c	43.39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.43	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae9…4e2bbacked Over	52c	41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	49c	40.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.62	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01f…98c1backed Under	50c	40.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe589…0ac1backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	71c	38.46$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under	51c	28.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	155	44.5%69 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	123	64.2%79 W · 44 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cae…fbcbbacked Over	52c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over	52c	27.86$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over	50c	26.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0336…9aa2backed Under	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…e042backed Over	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	53c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	52c	23.56$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.27	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over	53c	20.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x73b8…020dbacked Under	61c	18.42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.22	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Pelicans won
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event