NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6a10b6a7730e1bf63c5aad2b99286f000d06d9a635bae639e147dc0b8c84838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 2,985$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 61c | 1,696$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.6 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Over | 23c | 1,410$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.7 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 23c | 1,343$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 1,178$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…850fbacked Over | 34c | 1,020$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Over | 63c | 463.32$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 405.84$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 44c | 400.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 336.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 61c | 271.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 9c | 266.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 220.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 38c | 218.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 41c | 199.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 198.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Under | 37c | 186.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 11c | 183.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 39c | 182.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 41c | 173$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Over | 8c | 144.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 133.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 63c | 108.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 55c | 106.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 45c | 98.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 96.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 87.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…98c1backed Under | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 42c | 70.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 47c | 64.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 18c | 62.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 49.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 22c | 45.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Under | 41c | 43.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 42c | 41.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 39c | 37.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 35.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 57c | 25.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 64c | 24.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…eecdbacked Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…2ffcbacked Over | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 76c | 19.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.