TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9317…6e69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.96
1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.45
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.97
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.39
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.36
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+153.9%+$110.66
1H Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.89
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.33
Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.92
Knicks vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$208.92
1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.87
Pacers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$137.98
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30.23
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.44
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.76
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.88
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$88.51
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68.25
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.86
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$57.19
Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.76
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$47.54
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$74.56
Clemson Tigers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.2
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-10.5)backed Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$172.58
VCU Rams vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.46
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigers (W)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$76.65
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.99
Spread: High Point Panthers (-13.5)backed Radford Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.74
Miami Hurricanes vs. Boston College Eagles: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.15
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$12.61
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.51
D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-Flame Sharks vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.