NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07625ab34cfaff6e3fe2c8eeafa9009e8d1ea4c7f44349d0f26429b635eb5020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,574 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 46c | 22,253$10,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,236.31 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 54c | 11,174$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.94 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 47c | 8,862$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165.19 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 8,774$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 54c | 2,013$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.78 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.67 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 54c | 1,310$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.57 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 43c | 832.93$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 55c | 795.47$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.05 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 57c | 536.49$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.69 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Over | 57c | 511.19$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 43c | 425.85$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 415.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed Over | 58c | 402.28$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Under | 52c | 401.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over | 54c | 370.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 327.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 308.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 6c | 265$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 261.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 242.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Over | 67c | 214.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 61c | 162.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 149.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 42c | 147.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 54c | 140.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Under | 43c | 132.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 43c | 130.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Under | 43c | 126.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 57c | 126.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 122.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 120.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Under | 43c | 120.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 54c | 99.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 57c | 92.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 74.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 54c | 74.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 44c | 58.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 58c | 54.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 46c | 49.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c626backed Over | 62c | 48.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 44.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 55c | 39.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed Under | 47c | 34.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…c1eebacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 46c | 32.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 54c | 30.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…9c77backed Over | 54c | 28.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 24.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 24.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- John Collins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Clippers won
- Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.