TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$496,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,282 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c258,356$128,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,211.2654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3690…78dfbacked Over51c75,858$38,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,170.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c64,842$32,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,496.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over50c21,500$10,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,75024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.971,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over52c19,918$10,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,560.6217249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c17,868$9,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,862.681,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c16,715$8,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,256.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c14,610$7,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,158.91,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Over51c14,192$7,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,954.083943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c12,703$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,341.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9005750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae8…c494backed Over49c5,982$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over51c4,515$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.3511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over52c3,786$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.3717246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c3,115$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over49c2,942$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.2317850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over75c2,654$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.451090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+272.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Over51c2,611$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.981764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over45c2,426$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.825840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…f0f3backed Under51c2,325$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under48c2,311$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2822143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df5…b750backed Under51c2,125$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c1,968$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.022,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over50c1,600$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7968445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bf…6eabbacked Under51c1,532$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49019958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Over52c885$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.85947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over51c871.99$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.2854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c844.5$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.592,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Over50c749.08$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.544639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under49c719.99$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.791844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c685.89$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.72,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Under62c646.14$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.91323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c641.32$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.972,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Over52c604.13$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.016261.3%38 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under68c506.23$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2417042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under6c495.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7730224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under20c456.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under53c412.36$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3614456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Under48c399.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9918233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under52c364.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6418242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c359$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.092,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under48c352.39$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over50c333.33$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under31c300$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9423649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x62ca…1277backed Under14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick11cpaid+149.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Under14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Under14c299.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422425%6 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under57c281.51$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.044553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under50c271.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c267.42$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Over51c247$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.864452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Under16c212$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.724126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over50c200.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.549845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282020%4 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c199.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.141,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c198.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c197.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.183,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b22…dd09backed Under49c174.37$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Under51c174$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.595042%21 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Under48c162.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783060%18 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under50c161.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9910850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Under37c160$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.24645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c159$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.321,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…0d12backed Under49c156$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.442556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x432f…0b4cbacked Over51c156$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.443342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Over50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c143.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under48c137.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Over66c124.71$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over50c124$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f56…4ec1backed Over71c123$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under29c123$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.671,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over52c122$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5616845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under66c121.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Under31c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.65451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over51c118.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c108.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Over57c106.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.059458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.773641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c101.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.453,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Over50c100.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7610943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4819…c342backed Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.