NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b7452caabadad1fe872dca7615b46274324330e2dcc6971d4d01c78bf89d2e6

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,222 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	65c	1,626$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.5	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over	79c	1,316$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.28	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	46c	873.21$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.26	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under	35c	809.82$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.44	292	43.8%128 W · 164 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	45c	804.8$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.93	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under	36c	752$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.72	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	56c	723.65$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.29	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	36c	669.88$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.19	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	41c	644.7$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.69	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	53c	633.82$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.96	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over	56c	525.63$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.27	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	58c	518$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.41	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	65c	508$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.96	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	44c	456.98$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.07	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over	64c	444.21$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.02	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	57c	433.76$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.02	188	50.5%95 W · 93 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e03…b448backed Over	68c	424.24$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.07	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x103f…7160backed Over	79c	421.77$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.77	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	41c	420.27$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.28	218	43.6%95 W · 123 L	-15.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	48c	324.25$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.64	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over	44c	322.69$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.13	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	52c	319$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.12	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	63c	316.08$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.73	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	64c	306.48$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.76	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	65c	298.05$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.32	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under	37c	271.98$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.93	236	51.3%121 W · 115 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	30c	261.41$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.54	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under	23c	208.43$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…94bcbacked Over	67c	194.03$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.03	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under	44c	192.19$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.56	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6659…4b69backed Over	80c	187.58$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.66	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	180.04$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.42	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	68c	153.38$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.83	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under	23c	150$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Over	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over	68c	147.61$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.61	95	46.3%44 W · 51 L	-11.2wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	44c	140.9$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.64	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under	40c	136.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.8	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Under	55c	136.26$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.74	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	30c	135.4$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.24	361	54.8%198 W · 163 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	52c	133.59$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under	18c	131.22$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.88	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c626backed Over	70c	114.94$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.56	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under	47c	112.51$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.88	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	31c	109.08$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.31	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under	44c	107.39$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	43c	104$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.49	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over	53c	103.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.77	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under	11c	99.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	302	24.8%75 W · 227 L	+15.5wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	76c	94.82$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.45	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over	64c	91.53$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.52	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over	58c	82.92$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.92	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+11.6wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	34c	80.2$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over	71c	78.94$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.94	85	63.5%54 W · 31 L	+8.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Under	40c	78.54$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.76	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdff2…3b8bbacked Under	50c	76.91$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.3	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under	22c	65$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17be…a643backed Under	44c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under	69c	57.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.23	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under	51c	52$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	48c	50.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.13	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	61c	44$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under	45c	43.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	70c	43.63$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.09	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec9e…c1eebacked Over	69c	36.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.37	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f8…98d5backed Under	33c	35.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Under	39c	34.7$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over	63c	34.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.85	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…435cbacked Over	66c	32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.88	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over	63c	31.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.74	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ff…bd61backed Over	66c	28$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.52	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Over	55c	24.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.24	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over	63c	24.62$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.01	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under	45c	23.24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	248	41.9%104 W · 144 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	48c	21.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e69…6e36backed Over	67c	15.57$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.13	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	70cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb9…54b5backed Over	73c	13.76$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.72	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
Darius Garland: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
John Collins: Points O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Clippers won
Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs won
Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Over won
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event