TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,082 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c7,875$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.364,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over56c7,542$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,326.211,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c5,887$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over57c4,637$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.4311156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over56c3,287$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under42c751.72$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7222643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under14c577.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under42c480$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under31c399.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.511,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Over70c370.71$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.531566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fe…9c31backed Over58c347.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under44c342.83$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5117250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over60c306.28$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.371,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under10c291.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under40c230.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0625840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under18c218.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.731,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over70c214.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7746346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under43c204.16$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.791,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c198.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over66c189.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.46248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c184.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under40c166.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.731,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over62c165$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8520350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.577041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9316943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under32c125.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over66c111.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.871,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Under34c103$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.026550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under31c91.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over79c90.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0517042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over44c90.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2115534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under44c87.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.522,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e76…95cdbacked Under57c86.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.183145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Under44c85.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.469051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa656…2c19backed Over70c84.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Over55c79.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6217153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under44c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under44c76.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5820949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under42c71.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.072,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under44c71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under44c62.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4224841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under46c61.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9003…8937backed Under41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under44c57.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.334248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under42c57.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.111748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b2…25d0backed Under44c55.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under46c54.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under44c53.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda43…1720backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over56c46.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.471,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df2…24fbbacked Over68c45.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.476100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6b2…8e12backed Under32c45.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over66c43.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Over70c42.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.682369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+56.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe903…0b88backed Under37c41.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c39.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Under32c39.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over62c38.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x111c…40a3backed Under45c38.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.273138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c37.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.912,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cc…c9debacked Over69c36.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06d…3e0ebacked Over66c34.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…fff6backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8a…a5f7backed Over68c33.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e52…b00abacked Over68c32.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.38580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2512857.8%74 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd469…0084backed Under42c30.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under39c30.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.648255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8845…0c7dbacked Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ab…7ecdbacked Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Over57c29.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.826152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Under47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc9…7a80backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1550…2046backed Over68c27.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…4dd0backed Over70c27.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Under37c27.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa782…ee0cbacked Over70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under41c24.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Over63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8112364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Over54c23.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.654459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7387…31b0backed Over69c20.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.295054%27 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648e…0fd3backed Over58c20.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2216…8ccebacked Over68c19.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Over55c18.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.364126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a67…ef90backed Over69c15.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa642…c94dbacked Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…5453backed Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae01…8f3ebacked Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x753f…c51dbacked Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.