TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,370 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c5,260$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c4,587$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.331,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under44c2,709$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772e…c442backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c1,999$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.641,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under26c1,700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.913,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under45c1,250$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.071,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c1,185$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over52c1,115$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.3849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5448…0c40backed Under47c1,068$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over59c1,046$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.592,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Over54c815$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.053250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over66c812.03$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c787.59$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef93…9f0dbacked Under38c782.37$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.31650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c766.26$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.641,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under31c590.19$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3925840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c531.55$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c455.31$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.692,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…9c31backed Over49c410.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under42c400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over52c396.83$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c346.71$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.422,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over63c325.66$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc455…8640backed Over62c274.13$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed3…983fbacked Over62c273.93$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.091952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under31c264.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over25c263.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.761,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over63c234.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9254854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d2…a07abacked Over62c232.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.241030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c198.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under41c193.41$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Under40c189.61$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.554843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Under25c148.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.395036%18 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over73c137.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.382339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c134.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.752,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c133.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6223651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over58c126.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.343543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under42c119.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcf…0832backed Under38c118.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over60c114.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.435,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2e…0991backed Over73c107.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Under46c105.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.745939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over56c102.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0142853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…72bebacked Under51c101.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.041741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6923649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under43c92.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Over56c89.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under26c89.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5820837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over49c88.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1320140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under35c82.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.061,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Over62c80.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.569458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under33c79.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under46c77.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c76.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.022,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x286a…ac60backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b84…6accbacked Over68c73.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.383066.7%20 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over51c66.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c626backed Over77c65.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under38c65.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under35c64.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c62.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.461,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over50c61.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7520949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over50c60.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Under28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56026.7%16 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb991…2462backed Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under44c57.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.189553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c54.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.516141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c45.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.711,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Over38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.054126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over48c42.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2729351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Over31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under51c35.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb68…dc8bbacked Over55c34.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under41c34.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0524841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4710462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over59c31.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0516369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5608…ff5bbacked Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b9…d1d9backed Over55c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under36c29.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over38c29.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under52c28.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515144.4%67 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over78c25.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2515544.5%69 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121580%12 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over60c22.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9320350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Over61c21.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.454245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Over50c21.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8221349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over69c19.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.987744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.