NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2d56bef0fe4494c692dd3bf2858e8885ca192665b94205119a27573bd110b58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,936 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 50c | 5,724$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.3 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 4,906$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 24c | 3,837$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.78 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,686$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 57c | 3,552$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.62 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 1,533$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 1,363$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 60c | 592.41$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.19 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 425.6$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 416.78$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 47c | 410.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 25c | 373.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 70c | 238.85$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 217.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Under | 40c | 179$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 28c | 175.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 52c | 154.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 61c | 142.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 38c | 137.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 115.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 43c | 110.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Under | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 39c | 101.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 52c | 94.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 60c | 93.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 85.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 44c | 82.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…72bebacked Under | 51c | 76.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Under | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 77c | 64.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…60e3backed Under | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 44c | 56.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 66c | 53.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 39c | 38.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 51c | 38.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 31.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…df3dbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…d78abacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Over | 62c | 28.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Under | 41c | 28.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…7c61backed Over | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 75c | 22.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 61c | 21.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 65c | 17.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- John Collins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Clippers won
- Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.