TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,589 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9175…bd29backed Under52c999.99$520 inWon+$4803060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Over57c712.34$406 inLost-$406.031560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ea…baa4backed Over48c497.92$239 inLost-$23910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1193…e998backed Under43c312.07$134 inWon+$177.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over48c271.5$130 inLost-$130.3221937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Under43c184.13$79 inWon+$104.951926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e3a…4d28backed Under43c183.34$79 inWon+$104.52055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe45a…46adbacked Under43c180.88$78 inWon+$103.11546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb342…cc01backed Over57c148.08$84 inLost-$84.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x864f…ebe6backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over50c102.62$52 inLost-$51.522,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Under47c79$37 inWon+$41.873354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.