TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,719 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Spurs46c90,941$41,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,832.941,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers54c66,693$35,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,717.221,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers54c55,154$29,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,409.981,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Clippers30c20,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.9840446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs70c18,610$13,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,026.7866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs46c14,708$6,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,765.6830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs47c12,987$6,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,143.9839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs47c10,708$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers52c8,179$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,947.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Spurs50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50042153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Spurs45c4,953$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.966440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs47c4,481$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Clippers41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.297447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers56c3,264$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Spurs53c3,194$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.932,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Clippers52c3,000$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44615849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Clippers50c2,798$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.829952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers52c2,677$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2851,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Clippers57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs52c2,629$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.541,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs45c2,405$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.072,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers54c1,922$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.953,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb4…832bbacked Clippers67c1,677$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.38887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+69.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Spurs44c1,608$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.9525840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs45c1,511$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.412,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs50c1,479$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.722,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Clippers55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.555050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ae…5be9backed Clippers52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Spurs46c1,080$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Spurs45c1,076$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.0757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Spurs44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs58c975.41$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Clippers59c854.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.376764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Clippers60c835.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1720963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers49c799.93$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9652844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Clippers52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2320846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers55c653.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.291,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Spurs46c649.79$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29918043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Clippers52c596.15$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.154850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Spurs44c581.75$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.979352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs44c562.88$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Clippers55c558.49$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Clippers55c550$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs70c520.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.6995651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs45c439.59$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.821,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Spurs46c435.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Spurs46c422$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers49c394.6$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.593,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs48c387$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7645151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Spurs55c384.79$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9987744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs45c382.68$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.651,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Spurs20c364.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.851450%7 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+81.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Spurs49c363.64$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6112739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs46c348.5$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.483,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Clippers56c335.96$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.383060%18 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers55c334.22$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Spurs46c318.28$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4110947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Spurs45c303.68$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6639943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs42c284.19$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.362,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Spurs45c238.38$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Clippers42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Spurs45c220.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Clippers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs49c205.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.211,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Spurs28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5623649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Clippers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8661957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Clippers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.089159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Clippers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Spurs44c179.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7952146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Spurs45c175.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7943447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Clippers56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7762546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Clippers54c172.12$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Spurs45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Clippers50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Clippers62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.517236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f50…8341backed Clippers57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Spurs51c147.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Spurs49c139.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Clippers46c132.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8721349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs45c126.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Spurs45c124.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Spurs46c121$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6614145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Spurs48c116.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs28c115$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs44c113.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Spurs45c111.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.394240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Spurs48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.85939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Spurs46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs47c107.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.231,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdb…9d70backed Clippers27c104.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Spurs45c101.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5617643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Clippers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Clippers41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0526339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Spurs47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4733949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Clippers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Spurs60c97.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.526261.3%38 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.