TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,012 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Spurs58c151,027$87,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,531.92347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers42c62,193$26,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,889.031,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers42c37,541$15,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,773.581,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs54c28,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.997759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Clippers42c18,888$7,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,955.0415952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers43c18,845$8,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,708.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers43c10,894$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,162.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers56c9,490$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Clippers43c9,151$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,216.1620948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers43c8,647$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.194,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers42c7,200$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1761,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Clippers43c7,042$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,013.8124744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers43c4,349$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.41,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers43c3,966$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.316,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers42c2,760$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers43c2,631$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.4448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers47c2,355$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.863,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers42c2,009$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Clippers43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1408445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers42c1,801$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9543,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs57c1,755$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Clippers43c1,719$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.65543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Spurs57c1,529$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.6729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Spurs53c1,473$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.252,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Spurs57c1,228$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.24022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Spurs58c1,164$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9915446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers42c1,027$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.665,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Spurs43c999.5$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.437460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers42c957.48$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs57c954.21$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39933360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers43c648.64$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Clippers42c590$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Clippers40c477.5$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.55541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Spurs43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021137.9%80 W · 131 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Spurs56c433.96$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.025536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs53c410.27$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.442,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Spurs58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23238740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfda…20c0backed Spurs58c337.93$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Spurs62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Spurs43c315.86$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8625840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Spurs58c241.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Spurs58c232.76$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce09…a251backed Spurs57c229.55$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.841553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Spurs57c222.12$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.915435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers43c215.93$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.271,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Clippers43c204.48$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Clippers43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Spurs52c194.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Spurs56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…b0a9backed Spurs56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Clippers43c164.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3987744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs57c156.05$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2672250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers43c152.05$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers47c148.15$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.133,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers42c146.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.782,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Clippers43c143.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2660945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Clippers44c143$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.086550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Spurs57c133.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Clippers42c129.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Clippers44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.24751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…0795backed Clippers43c116.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ac…2de8backed Clippers43c113.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ba…882abacked Spurs45c111.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.55650%28 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spurs46c104.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5928245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clippers44c102$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.121,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Spurs57c101.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Spurs56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5625559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Spurs56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5637549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Clippers42c99.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Clippers42c94.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers43c94.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.91,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs56c89.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Spurs57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Spurs58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Spurs58c81.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.334248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs39c73.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Clippers42c73.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Clippers43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Spurs58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Spurs56c67.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.675352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Clippers43c65.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.491,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Clippers48c64.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9339055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Spurs58c62.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.081,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Spurs55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3348146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Clippers42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Spurs58c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7660267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Clippers45c53.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Spurs27c53.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Clippers43c52.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.936261.3%38 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35aa…8bddbacked Spurs58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed Spurs56c50.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.666864.7%44 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Clippers55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.292,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Clippers75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.554951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Spurs40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.