TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,148 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c30,555$14,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,456.3554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c24,468$12,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,654.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under47c4,063$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.6131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over78c3,354$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.651,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c3,034$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.132,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over53c2,962$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.621,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over53c2,918$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.461,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over53c2,653$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.9148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c2,162$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.872,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1277backed Under3c1,800$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick11cpaid+149.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c1,680$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.162,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,402$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.972,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c1,232$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c1,195$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.923,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over48c1,116$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4825840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c1,065$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.851,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under51c1,029$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5304553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c938.48$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over58c923.08$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c900$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over51c880$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.21,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over44c722.11$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3819650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c716.26$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over56c714.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8222447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Under16c700$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122425%6 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under48c699.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.999346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under15c600$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922020%4 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under6c500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under16c500$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792528%7 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick10cpaid+150.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over50c473.42$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.717153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over44c463.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c462.72$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over41c408.38$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed Under57c362.96$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.893745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Under20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+67.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%0 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Over42c290.76$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.064843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Over25c280$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over46c223$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.421,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over40c219$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Over49c217.86$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Under47c212.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.984540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under54c194$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.481,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under60c174.18$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Over54c164.59$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.716261.3%38 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under48c164.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2583158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Under32c144.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.084126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c132$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Under49c108.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4317153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c108$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6611354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over37c97.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1121637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over25c95.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Over53c89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.837960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under47c89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.838251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under46c87.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over52c87.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over47c86.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5429351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over54c80.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under50c78.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under55c78.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.871,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over53c78.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.561,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under50c74.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under53c72.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.421,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c72.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over48c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.829556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over48c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.721,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over27c60.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1710637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c59.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over54c52.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9521748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.511847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over50c46.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8118052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.234851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under48c35.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.291,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Over60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbba…e651backed Under32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over42c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6927539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under49c32.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0310947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c30.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.592,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over53c29.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over37c28.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7627463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under65c23.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over54c23.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7345460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91c…985ebacked Over50c20.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ef…c065backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Under56c19.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.961833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Over54c19.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7712739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.