TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,698 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs53c245,511$130,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,120.7572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Clippers47c217,736$102,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,400.1287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,2007759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Clippers47c22,786$10,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,076.4143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers48c15,810$7,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,221.0648343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Clippers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.951,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers47c8,189$3,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…57cdbacked Spurs53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers47c4,969$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs52c4,134$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.8682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers48c3,848$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.063,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Spurs52c3,523$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8324647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Spurs52c3,260$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.214245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Clippers47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers46c1,760$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.391,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs53c1,562$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.861,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Spurs52c1,533$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.419352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs61c1,400$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers44c1,351$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Clippers48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Clippers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8224050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Spurs54c1,027$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.3913339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Clippers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Spurs51c999.87$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.936145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Spurs52c847$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.443831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Spurs52c807.69$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers47c799.96$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Clippers47c783.99$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5116338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers46c623.13$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.072,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Clippers46c617.5$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6b…d96dbacked Clippers46c567.69$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.551346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Clippers48c416.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6618147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs54c379.26$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.81,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Spurs52c375$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Clippers47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.521743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs51c334.38$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62f…4857backed Spurs52c323.08$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs52c318.96$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Spurs52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Spurs54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Spurs41c239.42$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3225840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55d…001ebacked Spurs52c228.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Clippers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3351451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Clippers49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0411451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Spurs54c198.41$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Spurs52c193$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.368055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Spurs52c190$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.85738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Spurs54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd4…50bcbacked Spurs54c180.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6515448.7%75 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Spurs51c165.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.644650%23 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Spurs61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Spurs52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Spurs52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Clippers54c148.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0223047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers48c145.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.223,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers47c143.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.551,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Clippers48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…7f81backed Clippers47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+104.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Clippers50c106.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3839055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Spurs54c100.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Spurs52c100.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.044639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Spurs52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3d…6542backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505042%21 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs52c94.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Spurs54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Clippers49c85.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5843544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff0…c3a9backed Spurs54c78.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Spurs52c77.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1814047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Spurs52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Clippers49c76.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Clippers47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.394452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Clippers49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2215641.7%65 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb68…dc8bbacked Spurs71c54.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Spurs52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2746255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Spurs51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.514236.6%52 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5c…4568backed Spurs53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Clippers46c46.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2427138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf134…306dbacked Spurs54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Spurs54c45.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6734248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Clippers49c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.546026.7%16 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Clippers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209451.1%48 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Spurs52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.831955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs54c39.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Spurs52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f4…e01abacked Clippers48c38.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203850%19 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Spurs50c38.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2337665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers45c35.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.322,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Spurs54c32.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Clippers47c32.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.021,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Clippers48c31.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2715144.4%67 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Spurs52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.622336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.