TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c36…9433

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
427
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 64 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT15641.7%65 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.8
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.23
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$114.75
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.06
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.89
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.65
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.26
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$94.22
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$163.74
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$377.22
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+110%+$88
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+332.4%+$199.43
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,617Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$1,009.19
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$128.36
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$130.74
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$65.57
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$125.88
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.97
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4072.5%29 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+462.2%+$203.75
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$85.69
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$320.54
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$153.65
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+71.7%+$322.73
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.2%+$246.09
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29%+$251.8
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.4%+$106.24
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+63.1%+$94.58
Over $5M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+103.4%+$103.44
Over $10M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+38.7%+$116.01
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+62.6%+$156.45
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.9%+$79.6
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+59.4%+$207.82
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.3%+$66.46
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+54.3%+$108.62
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31%+$123.83
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+82.8%+$372.4
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+354.1%+$424.93
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+95.9%+$450.77
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$138.5
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.9%+$174.65
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+89.4%+$222.72
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$180.3
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$320.55
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$83.27
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$60.08
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.6%+$72.61
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$52.7
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+77.1%+$77.12
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$78.95
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$196.21
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$65.32
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$59.28
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.25
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.3
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cinabacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$158.64
Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.03
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$97.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$137.6
Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$44.4
Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$85.66
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$144.82
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Open Sud de France: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$222.52
Australian Open Men's: Matteo Arnaldi vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$42.31
Australian Open Men's: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$277
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$565
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+50.5%+$151.36
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+79%+$94.82
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+95.4%+$237.54
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$72.06
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+84.9%+$152.76
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$162.5
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$74.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$408.5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$160.45
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$49.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$52.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+171.1%+$50.07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$639
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,104
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$119.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+129%+$193.55
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$158.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$28.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$52.15
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$26.59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.27
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+67.3%+$80.78
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+70.4%+$211.33
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+52.3%+$120.02
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked KeepBest Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.5
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.31
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.35
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.55
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.27
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+329.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+105.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+261.8%+$70.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$153.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$20.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 10 above $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+30%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.