TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Western Michiganof Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Western Michigan76c67,000$51,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,76019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Western Michigan78c42,575$33,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,469.433250%16 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Western Michigan74c35,000$25,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,10027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Eastern Michigan23c30,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,90012055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Eastern Michigan28c28,398$7,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,897.8112718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Eastern Michigan22c23,186$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.9316234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Eastern Michigan26c21,638$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.8217443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Eastern Michigan25c20,402$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.4617048.2%82 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Michigan27c19,037$5,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,222.8158850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Eastern Michigan26c18,982$4,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,924.1165945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Western Michigan73c18,495$13,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.9481847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Western Michigan76c16,180$12,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,883.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan74c15,677$11,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,011.1852449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Eastern Michigan24c14,172$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.24235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Eastern Michigan24c12,946$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.0325629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan23c11,240$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.852,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eastern Michigan22c11,000$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Eastern Michigan25c10,411$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.732528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Western Michigan77c9,961$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Eastern Michigan26c7,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.977944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Western Michigan74c7,089$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.1729249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Eastern Michigan22c6,569$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.185345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Eastern Michigan0c5,785$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed Eastern Michigan27c5,556$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Eastern Michigan22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcff1…1e74backed Eastern Michigan28c4,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Eastern Michigan28c4,367$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.7320757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf27b…39edbacked Eastern Michigan28c4,300$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Eastern Michigan26c4,170$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fe…98a5backed Eastern Michigan28c3,700$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7376…4f46backed Eastern Michigan28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Western Michigan73c3,439$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.7813933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Eastern Michigan24c3,220$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.813135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Michigan70c2,982$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.0221538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Eastern Michigan22c2,897$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.3730949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Eastern Michigan22c2,523$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.095152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Western Michigan70c2,506$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.7910851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Eastern Michigan26c2,388$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.511,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eastern Michigan22c2,269$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3748546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Western Michigan70c2,197$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2238450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Western Michigan51c2,063$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.755152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Eastern Michigan27c2,045$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.4849443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Western Michigan74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52029351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Eastern Michigan7c1,930$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…6937backed Eastern Michigan26c1,903$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb984…03febacked Western Michigan72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf7d…c233backed Western Michigan72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Eastern Michigan29c1,800$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…0c28backed Western Michigan72c1,600$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3792…3f75backed Western Michigan72c1,600$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Western Michigan77c1,579$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.193056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbade…84b8backed Western Michigan72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c4c…913fbacked Western Michigan72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Eastern Michigan29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9813417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Western Michigan77c1,414$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.233256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…4febbacked Eastern Michigan28c1,410$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3e…7909backed Western Michigan72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad3…4144backed Western Michigan72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Eastern Michigan26c1,268$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0510742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59bd…06d2backed Western Michigan73c1,233$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e7…5f44backed Western Michigan74c1,219$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Western Michigan71c1,206$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.641662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x172a…6502backed Western Michigan72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f20…0360backed Western Michigan72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Eastern Michigan23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27647131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Western Michigan76c1,197$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.244748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c01…ce56backed Eastern Michigan28c1,161$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x467e…4343backed Western Michigan68c1,150$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3684100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+124.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked Western Michigan77c1,058$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.371338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Eastern Michigan33c1,050$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.185238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Western Michigan72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Eastern Michigan25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Eastern Michigan26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602119%4 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-63.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2434…bf11backed Eastern Michigan28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Eastern Michigan27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1b…89d0backed Western Michigan72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Eastern Michigan1c972.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Western Michigan77c922.56$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Eastern Michigan27c906.58$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.782040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Western Michigan75c847.91$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.440244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2a…d89fbacked Western Michigan72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd618…a085backed Eastern Michigan29c818.59$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0496…a7cfbacked Western Michigan72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Western Michigan66c780.47$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3917946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…1e1dbacked Eastern Michigan28c763$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Eastern Michigan30c759.66$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Eastern Michigan27c741.82$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.887642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…87d7backed Eastern Michigan28c737$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35a…98a0backed Western Michigan72c720$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+186.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Eastern Michigan27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Eastern Michigan18c628.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe046…0225backed Eastern Michigan28c621$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aed…37b0backed Western Michigan72c610$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Eastern Michigan24c583.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4b…84c9backed Eastern Michigan26c577.48$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.45812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Western Michigan78c563.3$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0826940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…b357backed Western Michigan72c560$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Michigan74c552.99$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1457144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Western Michigan75c535.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.46757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Eastern Michigan23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513242.4%56 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.