College Football · resolved market
Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cdf8f9a70574afa3a385351753bb544ee8b41ee9544a3389ae2df6727366c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michiganof Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Western Michigan | 60c | 56,492$33,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,597.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan | 40c | 37,029$14,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,806.56 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 10,680$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.12 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Eastern Michigan | 52c | 7,962$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Eastern Michigan | 46c | 7,922$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan | 56c | 3,655$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.13 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Eastern Michigan | 43c | 3,625$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.73 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 3,413$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.33 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Michigan | 48c | 2,660$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.61 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Eastern Michigan | 40c | 2,425$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Eastern Michigan | 31c | 1,874$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Western Michigan | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Eastern Michigan | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Eastern Michigan | 41c | 1,397$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Michigan | 69c | 1,370$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.3 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Western Michigan | 64c | 1,019$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Western Michigan | 60c | 1,000$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Western Michigan | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +600.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Michigan | 49c | 942$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.57 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Western Michigan | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Eastern Michigan | 41c | 860.12$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Western Michigan | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Michigan | 67c | 564.76$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Western Michigan | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Western Michigan | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Western Michigan | 50c | 407$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eastern Michigan | 43c | 353.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Eastern Michigan | 34c | 305$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Western Michigan | 60c | 236.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Eastern Michigan | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Western Michigan | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Eastern Michigan | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Western Michigan | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b7…693abacked Western Michigan | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Eastern Michigan | 47c | 139.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Western Michigan | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Western Michigan | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Eastern Michigan | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Michigan | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Eastern Michigan | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Eastern Michigan | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Western Michigan | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Eastern Michigan | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Eastern Michigan | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…d157backed Western Michigan | 50c | 56.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Western Michigan | 49c | 52.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Western Michigan | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…bbccbacked Western Michigan | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Eastern Michigan | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Eastern Michigan | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Western Michigan | 53c | 49.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Western Michigan | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Western Michigan | 60c | 40.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eastern Michigan | 42c | 35.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Western Michigan | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Western Michigan | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked Western Michigan | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Western Michigan | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Western Michigan (-10.5)Eastern Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-5.5)Western Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-6.5)Western Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-9.5)Western Michigan won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern MichiganWestern Michigan won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: 1H MoneylineWestern Michigan won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5Over won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 46.5Over won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 47.5Over won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 48.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.