TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd52…bbcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.96
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.38
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+506.1%+$83.5
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+132.6%+$22.8
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.44
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+138.1%+$28.98
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.67
Will Chile win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.73
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Korea Republic vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34.37
Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$62.19
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Dayton Flyers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.34
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
Arizona Wildcats vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.85
Alabama State Hornets vs. Air Force Falconsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.24
Wichita State Shockers vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+37.4%+$5.47
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28.04
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.24
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+66.9%+$11.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$25.98
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+84.8%+$10.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.71
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.4%+$4.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.95
Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Recife end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+127.6%+$21.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.6%+$4.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 500 vs Dynamo Eclot (BO3)backed Dynamo Eclot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.