Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4528d5a78aea8b4eaa928499e0e3d373c8e0020987e7f89b1c4b372dc603636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 71c | 8,687$6,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,138.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dayton Flyers | 57c | 3,879$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dayton Flyers | 29c | 3,214$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.09 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dayton Flyers | 69c | 2,706$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.2 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 37c | 2,422$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.48 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dayton Flyers | 30c | 1,991$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.87 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 44c | 1,686$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.33 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 29c | 1,616$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.15 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 29c | 883.1$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Dayton Flyers | 30c | 800$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.22 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 717.6$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers | 29c | 552.39$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Dayton Flyers | 30c | 490.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.67 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 26c | 314.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 34c | 309.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Dayton Flyers | 32c | 306$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Dayton Flyers | 32c | 306$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dayton Flyers | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dayton Flyers | 32c | 283$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dayton Flyers | 34c | 223.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 202.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dayton Flyers | 34c | 154$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Dayton Flyers | 33c | 102.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Dayton Flyers | 40c | 83.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…d85fbacked Dayton Flyers | 72c | 73.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dayton Flyers | 38c | 71.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 33c | 70.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…ecf9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…d2b1backed Dayton Flyers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Dayton Flyers | 39c | 45.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…bbccbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 34c | 44.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 57c | 43.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 57c | 42.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Dayton Flyers | 66c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Dayton Flyers | 71c | 36.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d8d1backed Dayton Flyers | 64c | 20.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 62c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3023backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.