Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc27f6e05c0d0b7fe2826188d0d88e3b1d19db7aa62b5ad8587aba30700ecf61a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 40c | 11,083$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.9 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 5,392$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 2,842$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.57 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 47c | 1,892$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.14 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 55c | 1,688$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 1,647$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 53c | 1,399$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 78c | 1,280$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,115$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 11c | 1,061$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…0986backed Yes | 51c | 980.14$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 862.81$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.85 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 399.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 29c | 217.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 66c | 191.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 147.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 37c | 105.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Yes | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +140%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc425…6268backed Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Yes | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 47c | 51.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…bbccbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 40c | 48.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 151 | 20.5%31 W · 120 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 42.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 46c | 41.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 49c | 40.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 64c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…432abacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Venezuela vs. Canada end in a draw?No won
- Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.