Fifa International · resolved market
Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67f19466193fddcc564339edbc0451c7d0eef470188b76157a1dfd562b50486d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 26c | 7,352$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,906$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.59 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 1,602$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.37 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 75c | 1,282$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.06 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 799.21$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 25c | 398.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 74c | 220.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 149.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 105.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 22c | 93.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 23c | 92.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Yes | 23c | 74.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 29c | 53.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…e963backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…ceffbacked Yes | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +350.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 30.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Canada win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
- Will Venezuela vs. Canada end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.