TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x932b…64c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
267
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+104.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+2,468%+$1,105.22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.66
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.85
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.01
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$218.77
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,462.98
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+27%+$85
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.32
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.47
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.37
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+3,396.5%+$743.12
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.82
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.8%+$526
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55.82
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+114.4%+$1,536.88
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+193.4%+$670
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.94
Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.48
2025 July hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.53
2025 June hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.66
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
2025 May hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.7
2025 April hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.08
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.41ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
2025 February hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.26
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.53
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.39ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10.91
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.39°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.39°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$33.06
2024 November hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$125.99
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.17-1.22°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$19
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.17°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$29
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$128.7
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$86
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.29-1.34°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$243
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.23-1.28°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$62
September temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.3
September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.45
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+576.2%+$1,622.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+440.5%+$162.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+485.3%+$90.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$80.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$144.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.4
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.79
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$115.92
Will Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.38
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+980.7%+$226.51
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.53
Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+130.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+3,163%+$446.02
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114.24
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48.8
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$221.1
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$436.92
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+103.9%+$227.51
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49.16
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+63.3%+$424.98
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+99.1%+$1,444.82
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$916.8
US military action on Yemen before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.53
US military action against Iran by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+1,192.6%+$3,835.57
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+110.9%+$289.23
25% steel tariff in effect before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.21
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+614.3%+$86
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$414.49
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$64.7
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$190.72
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+611.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.55
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.6
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$281.82
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,772.79
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67.46
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$552.99
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$137.45
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.18
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$386.41
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,026.48
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+183.3%+$5,238.49
Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.04
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.04
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.3
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.4
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+18,341.8%+$8,432.26
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.95
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.84
Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.49
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.94
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$101
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.25
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+354.5%+$39
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$58.43
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.03
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Powell say "Layoffs" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.63
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.27
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT240%0 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.91
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,055.8
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.39
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.48
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.11
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.68
All 24 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+108.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25.8%+$22.7
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$106.09
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$222.08
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+300%+$75
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,539%+$1,184.94
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$208.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+50%+$50
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25.4%+$74.08
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.2%+$44.98
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39.22
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.45
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.62
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$152.8
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$353.37
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.52
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$510
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-84.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$351.35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$490.84
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$346.01
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.25
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+59.4%+$14.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+506.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+1,112.3%+$1,513.89
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,585.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$76
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$46.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+685.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+685.4%+$164.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GME market cap >$20b on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$11.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.