Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72deaf5803ca40207a12937b90108334a75cff4ae0124c6b86ff743b28835375

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,863,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,056,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,863,908 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes	5c	311,751$14,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,463.46	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd02…aba7backed Yes	6c	183,553$10,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,533.56	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-56%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes	4c	145,000$6,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,280	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	5c	105,162$5,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,411.52	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60c3…9f87backed Yes	10c	104,189$10,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,428.96	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes	3c	99,105$2,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621.97	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes	4c	97,727$3,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,834.07	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes	9c	94,048$8,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,707.95	581	26.9%156 W · 425 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	1c	88,398$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.36	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes	5c	81,760$4,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,251.53	102	4.9%5 W · 97 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Yes	4c	64,221$2,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,709.17	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa4…a7a1backed Yes	2c	62,812$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes	2c	55,857$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.51	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-93.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes	6c	45,989$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,539.19	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	4c	38,397$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.21	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes	6c	31,225$2,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,016.19	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9082…e0a7backed Yes	4c	28,909$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes	8c	27,320$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	103	13.6%14 W · 89 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec25…1407backed Yes	6c	26,859$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2286…3075backed Yes	2c	23,642$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes	4c	23,149$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.7	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+6.4wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+110%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Yes	6c	22,841$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.95	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes	9c	21,886$1,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,903.39	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	136	0%0 W · 136 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes	4c	19,530$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.09	172	29.7%51 W · 121 L	-13.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e4a…97cebacked Yes	4c	17,800$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.03	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	40cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes	3c	17,563$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.61	227	0.9%2 W · 225 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes	4c	17,012$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed Yes	4c	16,364$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.06	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…3455backed Yes	6c	15,001$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.46	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04f…a15abacked Yes	5c	14,611$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.71	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes	7c	13,863$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.15	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	8c	13,123$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.19	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes	3c	12,420$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.1	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa765…ec70backed Yes	8c	11,835$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7bc…504abacked Yes	7c	11,637$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	3c	11,027$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.74	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes	8c	10,960$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.74	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eda…043ebacked Yes	4c	10,709$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.93	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes	6c	10,475$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.84	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20f7…382bbacked Yes	5c	10,445$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d1…8c91backed Yes	4c	10,440$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.31	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes	9c	10,087$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.25	70	20%14 W · 56 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed Yes	5c	9,927$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.66	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	9,579$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.64	648	12%78 W · 570 L	-61.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes	3c	9,553$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.99	128	24.2%31 W · 97 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e15…c62cbacked Yes	7c	9,199$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…d0f3backed Yes	2c	9,199$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x543f…9dafbacked Yes	3c	9,029$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0334…61d0backed Yes	5c	8,921$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb6…2124backed Yes	11c	8,000$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.94	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	0c	7,696$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe190…a627backed Yes	13c	7,695$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	7,403$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.69	116	19%22 W · 94 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-62%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2fd…4959backed Yes	3c	7,151$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.13	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes	6c	7,000$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423	150	23.3%35 W · 115 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes	4c	6,940$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa17f…a269backed Yes	3c	6,885$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8710…c7f7backed Yes	1c	6,334$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes	6c	6,332$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.52	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-90%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a63…6ef7backed Yes	0c	6,119$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	4c	6,100$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.5	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes	3c	6,024$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.48	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes	5c	5,578$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.39	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2755…5016backed Yes	7c	5,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9921…6258backed Yes	8c	5,000$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd031…b594backed Yes	5c	4,953$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x288c…a41dbacked Yes	5c	4,850$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.84	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes	6c	4,628$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes	3c	4,500$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.5	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bd…b9a1backed Yes	5c	4,390$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes	3c	4,296$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.22	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4b…5e45backed Yes	6c	4,213$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.81	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf584…76a2backed Yes	5c	4,163$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+3.4wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x847d…13d0backed Yes	1c	4,069$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	6cpaid	+367.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf9…cffdbacked Yes	4c	3,927$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.07	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes	6c	3,524$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.8	550	32.5%179 W · 371 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	4c	3,400$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	151	9.9%15 W · 136 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5453…b234backed Yes	11c	3,141$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked Yes	3c	2,901$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.56	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes	7c	2,787$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.24	258	24%62 W · 196 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efc…94e2backed Yes	1c	2,688$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67a5…2d41backed Yes	6c	2,665$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd249…6a1dbacked Yes	4c	2,552$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes	8c	2,513$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9af…05adbacked Yes	5c	2,500$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	60	18.3%11 W · 49 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc495…4c04backed Yes	8c	2,470$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d9…5136backed Yes	8c	2,353$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4966…81debacked Yes	13c	2,150$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadeb…d984backed Yes	5c	2,134$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.96	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…390fbacked Yes	5c	2,126$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	4c	2,123$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.56	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes	5c	2,036$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.52	42	2.4%1 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,032$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.36	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes	4c	2,005$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.87	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-86%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x376b…f45abacked Yes	10c	2,004$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes	2c	2,002$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.47	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	4c	2,000$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.35	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f6…1e17backed Yes	2c	2,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes	4c	2,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event