Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85c53df275da255aa0286fe083e8404c37be7ee9df0e99c338c5aea574526c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,036,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked No | 3c | 123,217$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.91 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 60c | 47,987$29,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,955.56 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed No | 24c | 35,995$8,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,554.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 60c | 22,514$13,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,021.09 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 63c | 21,019$13,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,721.26 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 36c | 19,956$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,817.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed No | 38c | 18,419$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,034.89 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 57c | 16,685$9,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,248.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 56c | 15,175$8,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,722.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 12,201$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.71 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked No | 21c | 11,706$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.82 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed No | 9c | 10,962$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked No | 16c | 9,999$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…3f2ebacked No | 7c | 9,692$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 56c | 9,253$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.53 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…90debacked No | 62c | 8,589$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 15c | 8,553$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.42 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 12c | 8,411$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Yes | 62c | 7,906$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.46 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 25c | 7,749$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.7 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 32c | 7,600$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.59 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 3c | 7,500$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…0a28backed No | 67c | 7,416$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed No | 12c | 6,828$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.19 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…9766backed No | 58c | 6,705$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 57c | 5,890$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.23 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 13c | 5,884$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.84 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 76c | 5,624$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 45c | 5,314$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.65 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 18c | 5,041$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.13 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 40c | 4,942$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.71 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 68c | 4,750$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 4,546$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.37 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 17c | 4,074$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.81 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 20c | 4,036$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.6 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…7f67backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 38c | 3,913$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…2a56backed No | 58c | 3,765$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 46c | 3,610$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.98 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…161fbacked No | 56c | 3,545$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 22c | 3,193$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.01 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked No | 16c | 3,131$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 50c | 3,111$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 48c | 3,039$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 65c | 2,900$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.99 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 53c | 2,687$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.66 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed No | 6c | 2,662$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked No | 11c | 2,627$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed Yes | 70c | 2,598$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…0e69backed No | 61c | 2,376$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 4c | 2,290$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,259$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 15c | 2,208$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…4894backed Yes | 47c | 2,110$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…7fddbacked Yes | 48c | 2,085$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 46c | 2,083$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.9 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…93bfbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de0…9483backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…fda8backed Yes | 34c | 1,963$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,958$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.64 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,908$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.11 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 74c | 1,771$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.1 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…d818backed No | 9c | 1,766$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,756$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.84 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376b…f45abacked Yes | 45c | 1,730$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 47c | 1,684$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.97 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…aad0backed Yes | 57c | 1,679$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked No | 26c | 1,617$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.12 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed No | 14c | 1,606$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…7096backed No | 6c | 1,591$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…05d0backed Yes | 66c | 1,525$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0f…f18ebacked No | 67c | 1,515$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe68…ae42backed No | 33c | 1,510$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…5ee8backed Yes | 72c | 1,503$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…74ecbacked No | 67c | 1,497$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 18c | 1,361$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…45bfbacked No | 15c | 1,351$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…486ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,347$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 74c | 1,328$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.53 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 5c | 1,250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3c…5151backed No | 7c | 1,149$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 1,112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 11c | 1,095$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 51c | 1,084$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.96 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…6c53backed No | 67c | 1,009$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fbacbacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…ff05backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…26ecbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…0586backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 15c | 999.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…852abacked No | 52c | 975$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…874fbacked No | 51c | 964.81$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…4c64backed Yes | 52c | 962.2$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…ba05backed No | 35c | 928.79$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 64c | 875.29$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.19 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…70dbbacked Yes | 74c | 782.8$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…7fc4backed No | 6c | 781.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.