TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6eec…3e48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST4052.5%21 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$371.25
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.48
Raiders vs. Chargersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.01
Saints vs. Dolphinsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.67
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$76.69
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+669.2%+$105.93
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+213.4%+$71.43
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+968.6%+$144.69
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+164.1%+$68.61
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.96
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$36.6
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.16
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+232.7%+$44.25
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.75
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.36
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.08
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.37
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.64
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.21
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.69
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$531
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+84%+$85.58
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.33
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$16.16
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.94
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.62
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$33.71
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.36
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.84
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.81
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+260.2%+$44.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$33.75
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.81
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+112.8%+$18.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.97
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$515.64
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$675.76
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$260.69
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$469.66
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.73
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+98.8%+$30.33
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.09
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+60%+$83.69
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+25.4%+$30.03
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+25.8%+$63.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.77
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.27
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$171.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$44.93
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$147.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.73
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.84
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$317.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.13
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Tulane vs. Templebacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.25
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.54
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$383.34
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+169.4%+$175.96
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.06
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+42.7%+$157.49
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.15
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$36.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$434.9
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$25.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.