NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db00933c89183fb8bb8deab81aa48b0af876d0b198fc893611e0bee66d05d32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $434,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 738 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 24c | 25,000$5,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,083.19 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 14c | 20,177$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.08 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 74c | 20,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,749.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Thunder | 77c | 16,807$12,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,901 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Thunder | 76c | 15,000$11,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,449.81 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 14,416$6,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,871.59 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Thunder | 34c | 14,242$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.05 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 37c | 11,188$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,055.31 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 43c | 9,568$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,463.23 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 8,845$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,280.14 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 77c | 8,052$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.39 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 51c | 5,161$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.26 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Thunder | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 77c | 4,449$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.82 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Thunder | 59c | 4,052$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.18 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Timberwolves | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.72 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Thunder | 1c | 3,926$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 74c | 3,810$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.15 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Timberwolves | 28c | 3,239$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.95 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 3,194$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.02 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Thunder | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Timberwolves | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…66eebacked Timberwolves | 27c | 2,963$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…41dfbacked Thunder | 74c | 2,922$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Timberwolves | 61c | 2,907$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.36 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 79c | 2,881$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.71 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 51c | 2,683$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.62 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Thunder | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 2,451$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.43 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,237$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.61 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 2,232$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.59 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Thunder | 78c | 2,041$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.53 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 51c | 2,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Thunder | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed Timberwolves | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Timberwolves | 21c | 1,913$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.3 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Timberwolves | 24c | 1,901$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 25c | 1,771$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.25 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 1,638$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.92 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 1,575$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.75 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Thunder | 78c | 1,536$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,503$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.99 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Timberwolves | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Thunder | 74c | 1,438$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.25 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Thunder | 46c | 1,353$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.07 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Thunder | 73c | 1,348$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 80c | 1,269$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.2 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Thunder | 2c | 1,260$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 48c | 1,254$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.34 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.97 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 1,217$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.58 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Thunder | 72c | 1,204$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.71 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,197$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.68 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Thunder | 73c | 1,115$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Thunder | 2c | 1,113$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Timberwolves | 20c | 1,081$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.14 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Timberwolves | 26c | 1,044$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Thunder | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Thunder | 66c | 996.17$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.52 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 73c | 977.93$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.89 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Timberwolves | 27c | 975$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.28 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Thunder | 74c | 945.97$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 26c | 932.13$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.36 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Timberwolves | 25c | 883.16$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.37 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…8694backed Thunder | 40c | 883.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Timberwolves | 24c | 877.94$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.4 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…af8dbacked Thunder | 40c | 869.49$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…50d2backed Thunder | 76c | 819.78$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Thunder | 56c | 814.55$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.74 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…61a9backed Thunder | 75c | 795.52$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 25c | 774$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.4 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Timberwolves | 65c | 773.08$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.54 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 22c | 767$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.3 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 50c | 753.47$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.89 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Thunder | 74c | 743.26$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Timberwolves | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Thunder | 27c | 740$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 66c | 731.77$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.89 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed Thunder | 71c | 724.9$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 690.97$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Thunder | 76c | 642.11$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 605$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.96 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 27c | 603.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.63 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Thunder | 54c | 600$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 69c | 599.97$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…0220backed Thunder | 11c | 550$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Thunder | 51c | 529.17$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Thunder | 54c | 522.22$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 503.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.94 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Thunder | 56c | 501.86$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.17 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…222cbacked Thunder | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.