TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62d1…0220

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
290
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT15041.3%62 W · 88 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.9
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.98
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.32
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.19
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$40.06
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+62.2%+$76.7
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$158.9
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.5
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$28.8
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$382.96
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$44.99
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.75
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.3
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.94
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+203%+$100.5
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+300%+$45
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.29
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.99
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.98
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$215
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Will Bayern Munich beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$16
Will Liverpool beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+100%+$25
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$72
All 17 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick19cpaid+133.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon beat Besiktas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.