TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof France, Sweden
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,441,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,506,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,441,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 667 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Sweden68c550,233$373,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373,146.5677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sweden69c367,796$254,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254,519.2274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked France32c300,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,999.8810740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked France32c212,163$66,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,224.4120448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Sweden68c197,065$134,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,705.6622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sweden65c154,930$100,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,929.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked France32c126,822$40,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,239.0718738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed France31c119,024$36,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,314.5529740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked France33c66,666$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,666.2242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked France33c46,547$15,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,186.7712536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France46c46,470$21,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,107.612,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked France32c43,954$14,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,863.0220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked France31c40,145$12,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,641.7821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked France30c40,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,00014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France26c39,047$10,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,960.962,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked France31c38,338$11,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,453.217143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed France31c38,220$11,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,371.86053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked France31c38,000$11,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,2206050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Sweden22c31,608$6,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,956.474420.5%9 W · 35 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked France32c31,060$9,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,120.638943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France31c28,304$8,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,529.761,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sweden49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,249.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed France32c24,311$7,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,534.620333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked France33c24,242$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,242.424742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed France33c20,922$6,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,017.8517550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed France54c19,358$10,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,961.2217642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sweden34c16,332$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.423,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France54c15,862$8,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,358.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed France33c15,061$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,030.3726320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbd…8990backed Sweden68c15,000$10,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,209.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Sweden10c14,425$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.4625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Sweden70c14,286$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed France33c12,830$4,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,596.0514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed France79c12,601$9,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.3332656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked France57c12,387$7,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,376.6820646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sweden36c11,926$4,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.791,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed France31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked France32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,80015456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France48c9,308$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,816.952,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Sweden68c9,201$6,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,256.3470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Sweden68c8,232$5,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,597.3151032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Sweden36c8,100$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.9915147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed France31c8,065$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564.5214829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked France63c7,653$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.131,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Sweden41c7,148$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.6510550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Sweden68c7,039$4,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,793.041,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Sweden67c6,887$4,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.5511952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Sweden68c6,536$4,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,450.521,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed France76c6,329$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.9910544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Sweden68c6,304$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,266.181,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked France33c6,059$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.6714727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Sweden70c6,019$4,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,213.0965948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed France31c5,981$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.898938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Sweden11c5,167$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.731,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed France32c4,681$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.9621044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Sweden68c4,332$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.517754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba22…0c14backed France33c4,010$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.821968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+91.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sweden67c4,004$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.891,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked France33c3,939$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.3914428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sweden68c3,692$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.82,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Sweden13c3,584$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5946012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…6f57backed France31c3,533$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.084637%17 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France29c3,448$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.2825019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed France30c3,338$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.9418633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed France31c3,230$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.714351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed France31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.817958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked France54c3,183$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.3783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed France55c3,174$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.1525821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked France22c3,112$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.658627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed France31c3,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,06035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed France33c2,970$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.75127.5%14 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed France31c2,899$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.892,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed France33c2,895$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.6434964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France46c2,841$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.2853629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed France21c2,650$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0927237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed France33c2,644$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.1813837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed France76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5721946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed France31c2,596$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.12520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed France33c2,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614c…ee16backed Sweden68c2,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked France62c2,499$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.3373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed France31c2,369$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.6146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked France30c2,333$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.3333915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed France33c2,282$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.9813721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Sweden67c2,222$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.7414325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed France33c2,097$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.975729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Sweden34c2,066$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.0866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed France59c2,052$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.4387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France31c2,036$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.682,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Sweden75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011254.5%61 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed France30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4008942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed France32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed France20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed France33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed France34c1,983$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.9712334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked France64c1,956$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed France32c1,866$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.5326644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a4…3d29backed Sweden68c1,765$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed France29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1433235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed France62c1,680$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.7219939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.