TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Franceof Sweden, France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$423,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,544 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sweden2c55,180$922 inLost-$922.043,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Sweden1c50,000$700 inLost-$70042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Sweden2c10,000$220 inLost-$22016033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Sweden2c8,345$165 inLost-$164.721,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Sweden1c8,000$83 inLost-$83.3938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed Sweden2c6,950$139 inLost-$13915229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd762…1e56backed Sweden3c3,800$103 inLost-$102.61513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0840…f4d9backed Sweden2c2,849$57 inLost-$56.784311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Sweden2c2,565$44 inLost-$43.6134247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Sweden2c2,441$39 inLost-$39.0616546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sweden2c1,922$37 inLost-$37.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Sweden2c1,523$30 inLost-$30.4651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Sweden2c1,000$25 inLost-$24.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Sweden2c713.46$14 inLost-$13.5648937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5489…ab63backed Sweden2c500$10 inLost-$102733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530e…ad89backed Sweden2c500$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed Sweden2c476.19$10 inLost-$10759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.