TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes11c3,779$403 inLost-$402.6714428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes11c3,500$369 inLost-$369.1530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes12c2,760$321 inLost-$321.1121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes10c1,250$125 inLost-$1259324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed9…225fbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost-$1004020%8 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca9…0c3fbacked Yes10c870.8$87 inLost-$87.081225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x433e…86fcbacked Yes12c836.67$100 inLost-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes5c700$35 inLost-$3531728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4d…ffb0backed Yes15c662.48$100 inLost-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes6c658.24$37 inLost-$37.0819618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4216…48d8backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost-$507445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96d…be0cbacked Yes13c517.93$65 inLost-$651315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost-$5021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes4c387.5$15 inLost-$15.4224541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Yes7c332.32$24 inLost-$2419939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes5c332.11$17 inLost-$16.721,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef6…20dcbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$201921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes9c220$20 inLost-$19.828326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes10c200.5$20 inLost-$2033221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Yes5c200.39$10 inLost-$1024046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff54…ccf0backed Yes9c162.78$15 inLost-$14.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes10c153.4$15 inLost-$15.346826.5%18 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…15a0backed Yes10c152.44$15 inLost-$153537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca09…5e81backed Yes9c148.2$13 inLost-$13.345660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf759…96b4backed Yes14c147.5$20 inLost-$204949%24 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafce…db52backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost-$1512538.4%48 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost-$152744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes11c127.27$14 inLost-$1415046.7%70 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb90…9ce5backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f4…4021backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1017854.5%97 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada9…73c3backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$106851.5%35 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…2b31backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$107431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.