France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412535c5ddf88d4dd7b488511683a7baf2cbbdaf8401d2ec7c358aafcf6dd334

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,430 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	5,681$2,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,678.18	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	32c	3,123$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.4	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	73c	2,063$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.75	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…66b1backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under	78c	1,342$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.7	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over	46c	1,234$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.36	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	71c	1,194$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.47	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	1c	1,030$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Under	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	29c	965.39$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.96	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	29c	953$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.6	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over	65c	303.08$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.08	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	33c	301.91$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.95	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	27c	300$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.14	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	28c	246.03$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.67	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Under	66c	229$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	179	59.2%106 W · 73 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	71c	219$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.09	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x492a…46aebacked Under	28c	213.97$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.79	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	6c	196.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Over	72c	149.99$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Over	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	160	19.4%31 W · 129 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	281	34.5%97 W · 184 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1911…5d7dbacked Over	72c	135$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Under	31c	113.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	45c	106.78$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.1	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over	48c	102.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Over	50c	97.91$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	60	30%18 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	69c	87$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.34	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5062…be14backed Over	72c	83.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.33	238	63.4%151 W · 87 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	30c	81.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Over	66c	80$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	267	38.2%102 W · 165 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under	34c	68.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	30c	60.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over	40c	60.43$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.13	263	44.5%117 W · 146 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over	33c	59.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.87	222	42.3%94 W · 128 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	158	46.8%74 W · 84 L	+15.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b8…fa00backed Under	45c	41.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.51	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8038…ce41backed Under	45c	38.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	36cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	29c	38.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	71c	35.59$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.16	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	71c	35.55$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.31	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Over	50c	33.98$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.99	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff2…ca30backed Over	34c	31.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.56	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over	52c	29.71$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.26	91	68.1%62 W · 29 L	+13.8wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaac8…6495backed Over	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	157	55.4%87 W · 70 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	59c	27.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	177	60.5%107 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	65c	26.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.38	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over	71c	23.14$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Over	52c	23.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1483…48fabacked Over	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c2c…88c6backed Over	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	185	62.2%115 W · 70 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x003b…fc58backed Over	68c	17.65$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…2f4ebacked Over	69c	17.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over	71c	15.21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.41	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event