Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cee66d555277a62bac66cd637d69e0cd8d61877f5055f23e853ffe7d773941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 21c | 7,025$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 1c | 5,830$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 21c | 3,147$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.36 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Over | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 79c | 1,906$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 79c | 1,695$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Under | 79c | 1,627$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.61 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 80c | 1,626$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.16 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 79c | 1,250$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.01 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 79c | 1,250$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 21c | 1,205$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.09 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 21c | 1,078$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…a49dbacked Over | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 22c | 910$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 831.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 562.72$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 8c | 463.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…1885backed Over | 22c | 435.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Over | 13c | 349.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…1cf4backed Over | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 75c | 241.18$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…b941backed Over | 7c | 219.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Over | 22c | 207.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 79c | 194.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Over | 21c | 176.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…4c05backed Over | 22c | 132.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 16c | 124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…f6a1backed Under | 80c | 123.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…18cabacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…0079backed Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…9871backed Over | 22c | 67.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 79c | 59.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 19c | 57.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 80c | 54.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Under | 80c | 54.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 79c | 54.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 79c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 80c | 22.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 79c | 21.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 79c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance won
- France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.