TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$624,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$681,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Over40c48,372$19,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,111.1824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under46c31,830$14,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,602.4117642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under47c30,931$14,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,404.6944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c27,106$14,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,451.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under26c22,781$5,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,955.3428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under37c21,649$8,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,053.841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under44c16,136$7,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.1530054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Under56c14,286$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9713234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under53c9,428$5,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.4644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c9,004$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,332.573,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under28c8,692$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Over73c8,272$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.7310544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over53c8,010$4,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.2525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under46c7,131$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.4415040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under59c5,336$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.8937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c60…f4fcbacked Over53c5,000$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3701275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under35c4,987$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.8943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over55c4,842$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.162,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Over55c4,182$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.824546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over68c4,100$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.6636234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Over80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over70c3,167$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.4735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under58c3,069$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.2319649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c2,789$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under51c2,787$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.0425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over35c2,622$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.9420150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under3c2,508$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.591,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Under20c2,493$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.632119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over57c2,486$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.9822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under12c2,432$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under27c2,214$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under67c2,185$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.071,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under43c2,178$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.324746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under19c2,097$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over53c2,058$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.3927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Over52c2,000$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9559033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over59c1,857$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.61,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Over54c1,839$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.1417443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over79c1,836$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5627227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under21c1,801$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.2920053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under76c1,726$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.3236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over52c1,718$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.8287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc16…3abdbacked Over49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.654100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over52c1,630$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.6745145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over74c1,567$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over60c1,545$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.341,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7128…6fcfbacked Over64c1,543$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over64c1,504$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.8421946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over45c1,416$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.6219329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e5…7d84backed Under10c1,406$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.642030%6 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+86.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over80c1,395$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over55c1,387$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.5973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over72c1,316$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.7734533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under38c1,305$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under11c1,248$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7514526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under21c1,190$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under21c1,095$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under62c1,094$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over43c1,091$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.8274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under12c1,078$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2542126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under2c1,006$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5713727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under26c1,002$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5724635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.993735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under20c994.03$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.11,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Under42c965.84$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.3616046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over54c959.47$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.651,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under7c931.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6614238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c930.96$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.492,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over62c924.32$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over60c904.55$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.761,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over36c880.41$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.917368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1918435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over46c873.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.3321641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over79c833.52$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.963,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under39c817.65$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8223637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under33c749.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6614131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over52c735.64$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.081,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over23c729.02$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.0164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over31c724.64$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50031545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7527655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under35c697.14$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2444944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Under30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under58c631.66$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.0925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over72c609.88$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c549.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1346012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over47c527.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.686947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over79c512$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.521,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.