TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$764,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$841,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c205,162$101,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,865.7777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c55,000$27,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,30023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Over51c39,319$20,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,266.52250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over46c35,900$16,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,386.047346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Over51c34,308$17,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,810.928856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under54c26,750$14,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,422.4525844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under52c26,151$13,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,537.1153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over51c20,001$10,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,800.657140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over51c19,608$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.845054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Under54c15,045$8,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1242437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c14,337$7,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,336.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under50c13,300$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c11,806$5,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,922.622,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over44c10,639$4,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,955.782,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Over70c9,637$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.44546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50019038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed Under50c8,630$4,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3151861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c8,496$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,206.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over50c8,000$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,03038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over49c7,436$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.3670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over48c7,354$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.9442710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under52c7,342$3,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,818.0713151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7806056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae35…8d66backed Over75c6,645$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd42b…baf1backed Over46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.742152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under5c6,455$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c6,275$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.332,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00013454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c5,589$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over46c5,511$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.8632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,182$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under55c5,058$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.54351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under51c4,614$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35316953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under59c4,510$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.224459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over58c4,227$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.9243248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over49c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,06028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Over51c3,552$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.266631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under55c3,375$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.285846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over46c3,124$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.991,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Under55c2,855$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5702450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c2,565$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over51c2,555$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.99647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under55c2,500$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.512241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under9c2,420$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.842,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c2,164$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.891,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over52c1,998$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.764,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7827433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008056.3%45 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under29c1,888$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5479243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over50c1,801$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.431,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9181931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over50c1,725$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.261,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over56c1,636$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8512253.3%65 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c1,627$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over62c1,510$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.511,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over48c1,508$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.452,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over48c1,460$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.4216747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa4…9865backed Under54c1,268$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.571540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over69c1,224$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over76c1,154$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.015735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under55c1,125$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.3336350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over52c1,115$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.61,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over47c1,042$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.4215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Over49c1,020$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.178341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53015424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3910749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c973.3$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c900.8$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.561,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb00…2f38backed Under54c890$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.65345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over45c881$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.057250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c852.75$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.44,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c827.48$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4173,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under34c764.69$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2628251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c763.41$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over49c758.8$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9911645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Under54c743$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2217745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c701.67$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.641,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4411555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c691.71$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under42c681.86$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f9…9f14backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.674032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under52c661.48$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under53c644.91$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.811552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Under48c619.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.995935.6%21 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c619.28$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Over50c613$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under50c596.36$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.942853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Over43c594.12$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6222825.4%58 W · 170 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2416750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over33c550$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.2516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under53c547.17$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29013948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under12c512$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.28052.5%42 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.