TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes17c2,560$435 inLost-$435.230431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes18c1,193$220 inLost-$220.0121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost-$10018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Yes17c470.59$80 inLost-$805236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes24c454.9$110 inLost-$11019520%39 W · 156 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes14c412$57 inLost-$56.691,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7514…3d31backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c224.53$178 inWon+$46.832,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes17c205.88$35 inLost-$3519618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes17c205.88$35 inLost-$356826.5%18 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa018…3d31backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost-$309221.7%20 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Yes17c164.71$28 inLost-$2816531.5%52 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f2…bc78backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef3…dbcdbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost-$203231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost-$1733221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…2b31backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost-$177431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Yes18c99.56$18 inLost-$17.925238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes13c96.03$12 inLost-$12.182,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Yes17c94.12$16 inLost-$167533.3%25 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost-$1537323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf759…96b4backed Yes23c86.34$20 inLost-$19.944949%24 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes24c83.54$20 inLost-$2015046.7%70 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe902…8566backed Yes26c57.12$15 inLost-$1560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d19…ff7bbacked No78c51$40 inWon+$11.221275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.