France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102805c678f8be8e8dfc8fa89386367a6bff2dc8dce7e23ad855716aef019e5b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,234 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over	3c	48,284$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.32	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under	80c	7,375$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,475.19	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	79c	5,642$4,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,162.19	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	79c	3,919$3,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.99	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	79c	3,296$2,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.96	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	20c	2,428$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.59	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	21c	2,122$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.62	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	17c	2,003$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.42	98	21.4%21 W · 77 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	80c	1,802$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.89	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	5c	1,761$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.67	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under	79c	1,266$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.82	191	58.1%111 W · 80 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	80c	1,251$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.3	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	80c	1,250$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.36	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	79c	1,193$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.1	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	5c	1,181$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.07	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	16c	1,079$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.76	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	19c	833.93$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.71	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over	19c	731.58$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	179	38%68 W · 111 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Under	79c	714.83$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.11	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	79c	600$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked Over	14c	590$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe92…9f2abacked Under	78c	570.09$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.26	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	61cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	20c	533.48$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.57	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	21c	531.39$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.56	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e6…3365backed Under	79c	499.98$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	21c	474.17$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.17	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	21c	450.09$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.03	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under	80c	375$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over	21c	333.47$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.04	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under	80c	333$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.7	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	20c	312$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	7c	296$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Over	10c	284.7$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.47	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	21c	284.04$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.39	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…597ebacked Over	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Over	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	246	16.3%40 W · 206 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over	21c	238$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c6…3a8fbacked Under	80c	206.25$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.25	12	100%12 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Over	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44e6…e00abacked Over	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dc…69e3backed Over	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Over	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4722…36bbbacked Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	79c	120$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	79c	120$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4886…6a97backed Over	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	21c	117.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	80c	112.72$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19d…95a4backed Over	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0b7…49b8backed Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under	79c	99.99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	322	54%174 W · 148 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Over	21c	92.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over	21c	79.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	80c	71.78$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.36	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa967…9871backed Over	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	20c	66.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	79c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	80c	44.86$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.13	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	79c	40.08$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under	80c	38$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	277	44.8%124 W · 153 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90aa…bfabbacked Under	79c	25.18$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	80c	24.93$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	79c	22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.62	481	54.9%264 W · 217 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc97…60aebacked Under	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.05	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under	79c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.15	347	51%177 W · 170 L	+19.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Under	80c	14.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.92	200	56%112 W · 88 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa683…6692backed Under	80c	14.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.92	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5this page
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event