Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3f31345d67ef8704650eeabc57e0c97cc26677f631ecc54dcf46910433c8da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 55c | 1,694$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.39 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 1,163$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.88 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 59c | 1,015$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.46 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 987.59$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.53 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 42c | 707.76$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 700.94$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.43 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over | 56c | 670$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Over | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.67 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 40c | 504.38$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.79 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 19c | 400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 39c | 398.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 394.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 42c | 388.67$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.03 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 68c | 387.37$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 38c | 356$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…9b3cbacked Over | 63c | 308.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…2a48backed Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 259.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 55c | 236.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…b563backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 35c | 210$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 31c | 206.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 21c | 204.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 39c | 187$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 42c | 172.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…4c05backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 43c | 160.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 70c | 154.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…52c2backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…6254backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 45c | 63.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 34c | 55.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…5ff5backed Over | 57c | 34.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 62c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…cd19backed Over | 60c | 25.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Over | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance won
- France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.