TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof France, Sweden
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,572,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,618,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,572,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Sweden11c459,459$50,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,540.443345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Sweden11c262,556$28,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,881.1321444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Sweden11c247,100$28,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,15222139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sweden11c241,412$26,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,555.3374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Sweden10c186,859$17,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,800.116114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Sweden11c172,959$19,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,025.476546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Sweden12c167,834$20,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,050.389948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Sweden11c138,255$15,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,884.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Sweden12c115,995$14,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,177.732516%4 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Sweden11c95,991$10,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,559.019845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Sweden2c83,716$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.1514715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Sweden14c67,600$9,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,46434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Sweden14c66,932$9,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,370.4613738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed Sweden12c62,543$7,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,505.192931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sweden11c60,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.971,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Sweden13c59,626$7,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,801.918047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Sweden12c57,000$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8408440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Sweden12c50,298$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,035.747345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Sweden12c47,265$5,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,672.1256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked Sweden7c42,857$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Sweden11c42,341$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,657.5577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Sweden11c41,722$4,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,695.2725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed Sweden11c38,116$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.762352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Sweden11c34,469$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.6329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65bb…1228backed Sweden11c31,920$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed Sweden11c31,908$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.863842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Sweden11c31,657$3,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,584.4610740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Sweden12c31,250$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75013330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Sweden10c30,000$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.9825244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Sweden13c27,717$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.215441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Sweden13c27,287$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.378931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x703b…1956backed Sweden12c25,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Sweden11c23,730$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.2911031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Sweden12c23,608$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8332213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Sweden0c23,100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.46819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Sweden11c22,800$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50811642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Sweden11c22,450$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.547447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sweden11c20,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc1…c13fbacked Sweden12c19,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2801020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Sweden7c18,491$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.3358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed Sweden11c17,100$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8812352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Sweden11c16,950$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.59247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Sweden12c16,670$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.417835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c5…65d1backed Sweden12c16,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sweden11c15,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.991315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Sweden10c13,779$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.6412454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6548…3881backed Sweden11c13,680$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Sweden1c13,030$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8815843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Sweden12c13,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Sweden4c13,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sweden9c12,425$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.164,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Sweden11c12,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Sweden11c12,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7095…7884backed Sweden11c11,400$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x586a…6610backed Sweden11c11,399$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.921668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f8…daa1backed Sweden11c11,300$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.992556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked Sweden12c10,900$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.984544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…6efebacked Sweden7c10,063$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7091225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Sweden12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Sweden11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Sweden1c10,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick10cpaid+287.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Sweden11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Sweden11c9,090$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.94738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Sweden11c9,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9908325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Sweden12c8,910$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.893036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Sweden11c8,800$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Sweden11c8,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Sweden11c7,910$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.12653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd86…0287backed Sweden12c7,855$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.58714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Sweden12c7,209$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.2142043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Sweden17c7,166$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.2216033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Sweden12c6,820$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.414139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Sweden11c6,666$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sweden11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Sweden11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Sweden11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Sweden8c5,886$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.0537223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf9…f3eabacked Sweden12c5,870$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381d…fedebacked Sweden6c5,867$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524316.3%7 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Sweden11c5,600$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61647442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Sweden14c5,594$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.9510732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Sweden9c5,555$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Sweden11c5,420$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.196450%32 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Sweden12c5,017$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.482,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Sweden11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sweden12c5,000$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.683,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Sweden11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011637.1%43 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Sweden12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sweden12c5,000$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.052,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Sweden11c4,998$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.7331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Sweden14c4,905$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sweden12c4,599$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.823,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Sweden12c4,370$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.4614234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Sweden5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sweden12c4,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Sweden11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44035033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Sweden12c3,995$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.35137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6d…e72cbacked Sweden12c3,911$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.263330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4436…d11abacked Sweden11c3,723$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Sweden1c3,377$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82825%7 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+78.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.