Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x842fd100cc6272e3ad216f8ee386d15c719c719c78ee6d2ccd1544ce6a0aa36f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof France, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,572,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,618,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,572,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sweden | 11c | 459,459$50,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,540.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Sweden | 11c | 262,556$28,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,881.13 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Sweden | 11c | 247,100$28,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,152 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sweden | 11c | 241,412$26,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,555.33 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Sweden | 10c | 186,859$17,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,800.11 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Sweden | 11c | 172,959$19,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,025.47 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Sweden | 12c | 167,834$20,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,050.38 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sweden | 11c | 138,255$15,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,884.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Sweden | 12c | 115,995$14,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,177.73 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed Sweden | 11c | 95,991$10,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,559.01 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Sweden | 2c | 83,716$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.15 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Sweden | 14c | 67,600$9,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,464 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Sweden | 14c | 66,932$9,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,370.46 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed Sweden | 12c | 62,543$7,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,505.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sweden | 11c | 60,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.97 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Sweden | 13c | 59,626$7,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,801.9 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed Sweden | 12c | 57,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Sweden | 12c | 50,298$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.74 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Sweden | 12c | 47,265$5,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,672.12 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Sweden | 7c | 42,857$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Sweden | 11c | 42,341$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.55 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Sweden | 11c | 41,722$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.27 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed Sweden | 11c | 38,116$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Sweden | 11c | 34,469$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.63 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…1228backed Sweden | 11c | 31,920$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Sweden | 11c | 31,908$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Sweden | 11c | 31,657$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.46 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Sweden | 12c | 31,250$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Sweden | 10c | 30,000$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.98 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Sweden | 13c | 27,717$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.2 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Sweden | 13c | 27,287$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.37 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…1956backed Sweden | 12c | 25,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Sweden | 11c | 23,730$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.29 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Sweden | 12c | 23,608$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Sweden | 0c | 23,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Sweden | 11c | 22,800$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Sweden | 11c | 22,450$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.54 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sweden | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…c13fbacked Sweden | 12c | 19,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Sweden | 7c | 18,491$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.33 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Sweden | 11c | 17,100$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked Sweden | 11c | 16,950$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.5 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed Sweden | 12c | 16,670$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.41 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed Sweden | 12c | 16,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sweden | 11c | 15,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Sweden | 10c | 13,779$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.64 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…3881backed Sweden | 11c | 13,680$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Sweden | 1c | 13,030$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Sweden | 12c | 13,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sweden | 4c | 13,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sweden | 9c | 12,425$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sweden | 11c | 12,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Sweden | 11c | 12,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…7884backed Sweden | 11c | 11,400$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed Sweden | 11c | 11,399$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Sweden | 11c | 11,300$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…50cdbacked Sweden | 12c | 10,900$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Sweden | 7c | 10,063$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sweden | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Sweden | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Sweden | 1c | 10,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Sweden | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Sweden | 11c | 9,090$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Sweden | 11c | 9,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Sweden | 12c | 8,910$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.89 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Sweden | 11c | 8,800$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.99 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Sweden | 11c | 8,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Sweden | 11c | 7,910$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd86…0287backed Sweden | 12c | 7,855$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sweden | 12c | 7,209$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.21 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebd…ba30backed Sweden | 17c | 7,166$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.22 | 160 | 33.1%53 W · 107 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Sweden | 12c | 6,820$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.4 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Sweden | 11c | 6,666$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sweden | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sweden | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Sweden | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Sweden | 8c | 5,886$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.05 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…f3eabacked Sweden | 12c | 5,870$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…fedebacked Sweden | 6c | 5,867$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sweden | 11c | 5,600$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Sweden | 14c | 5,594$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.95 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Sweden | 9c | 5,555$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Sweden | 11c | 5,420$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.19 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sweden | 12c | 5,017$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.48 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Sweden | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sweden | 12c | 5,000$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Sweden | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Sweden | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sweden | 12c | 5,000$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.05 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Sweden | 11c | 4,998$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.73 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Sweden | 14c | 4,905$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sweden | 12c | 4,599$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.82 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Sweden | 12c | 4,370$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.46 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Sweden | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sweden | 12c | 4,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sweden | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Sweden | 12c | 3,995$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6d…e72cbacked Sweden | 12c | 3,911$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.26 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…d11abacked Sweden | 11c | 3,723$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Sweden | 1c | 3,377$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancethis page
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.