TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Swedenof France, Sweden
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,961 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked France5c33,877$1,694 inLost-$1,693.8610740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed France5c14,973$749 inLost-$748.8842710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f0…42debacked France6c4,121$241 inLost-$240.9380%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed France3c4,014$140 inLost-$140.416939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed France6c2,826$162 inLost-$161.634,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France5c2,083$105 inLost-$105.191,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France5c1,591$81 inLost-$81.312,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked France5c1,205$60 inLost-$60.419356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France15c1,171$173 inLost-$172.9453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed France6c666.67$40 inLost-$402213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed France7c578.5$39 inLost-$39.132,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked France10c513$50 inLost-$5015418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France7c499.99$35 inLost-$3547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed France7c417.57$30 inLost-$3022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked France5c365$19 inLost-$18.754942.9%21 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed France5c300$15 inLost-$1597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked France7c262.5$20 inLost-$19.6312914.7%19 W · 110 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef6…f9d4backed France10c256.75$25 inLost-$256129.5%18 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed France9c227.22$20 inLost-$20759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked France8c185.63$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked France8c181$14 inLost-$14.3463035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e5…dd13backed France8c125$10 inLost-$10316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked France10c100$10 inLost-$1018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.