Spread: France (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x801789fd001f72517a0ae1be88b015b239b2ba5846ce73e5d11426d4e17d0514

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Franceof France, Sweden
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,285,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,818,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,285,999 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Sweden	46c	1,263,072$579,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579,880.62	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7225…659abacked Sweden	47c	1,036,922$487,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487,353.49	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Sweden	46c	821,010$377,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377,664.41	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Sweden	49c	685,283$332,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332,541.86	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sweden	46c	532,190$242,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242,295.01	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France	54c	477,637$259,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217,896.75	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France	53c	421,894$221,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199,915.53	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked France	54c	362,342$195,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166,677.38	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed France	56c	350,000$196,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153,999.9	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Sweden	46c	349,865$159,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159,690.57	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked France	55c	269,695$148,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121,640.51	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed France	52c	257,300$133,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123,469.23	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Sweden	47c	249,999$117,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117,499.42	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Sweden	46c	233,723$107,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,185.77	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked France	63c	191,609$120,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70,805.31	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed France	55c	182,821$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,821.22	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a26…73c3backed France	54c	165,000$89,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,549.89	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked France	52c	160,878$83,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77,012.66	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Sweden	45c	157,472$70,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,862.41	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed France	54c	138,057$74,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,737.68	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France	54c	130,039$70,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,944.42	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed France	54c	130,000$69,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,085.78	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed France	53c	106,698$56,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,708.47	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed France	56c	103,115$57,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,494.46	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked France	53c	100,000$53,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,000	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed France	56c	100,000$56,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,000	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Sweden	47c	94,016$44,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,187.49	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France	54c	93,311$50,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,155.99	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sweden	41c	88,581$36,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,737.3	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked France	53c	80,000$42,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,399.99	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked France	52c	77,777$40,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,332.96	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France	54c	74,967$40,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,531.66	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sweden	42c	74,607$31,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,021.75	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed France	54c	69,146$37,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,998.43	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Sweden	46c	59,926$27,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,566	135	43%58 W · 77 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed France	53c	58,000$30,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,260	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed France	55c	55,500$30,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,975	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked France	52c	55,000$28,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,400	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Sweden	37c	50,404$18,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,649.58	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed France	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,500.14	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sweden	48c	50,000$24,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,000	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed France	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,500	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed France	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,500	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed France	54c	50,000$26,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,100	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed France	55c	45,691$25,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,677.26	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Sweden	45c	44,000$19,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,719.92	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked France	54c	39,075$21,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,928.17	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…04a9backed Sweden	50c	37,141$18,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,708.74	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed France	53c	34,632$18,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,277.01	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked France	54c	31,965$17,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,703.9	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Sweden	3c	31,837$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.82	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked France	54c	30,570$16,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,062.1	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed France	57c	30,107$17,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,951.55	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Sweden	36c	30,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,800	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed France	52c	30,000$15,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,399.99	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked France	54c	29,335$15,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,435.49	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed France	53c	28,127$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,127.18	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed France	55c	27,000$14,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,150	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed France	50c	25,777$12,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,014.21	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabff…9e8fbacked France	53c	25,038$13,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,767.74	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed France	54c	25,000$13,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,500	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed France	46c	24,404$11,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,197.96	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed France	53c	23,677$12,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,013.66	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked France	53c	23,000$12,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,740	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed France	54c	22,338$12,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,275.48	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed France	54c	22,222$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,222.12	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed France	54c	21,900$11,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,161	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed France	54c	21,800$11,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,028	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+8.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed France	54c	21,630$11,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,987.25	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed France	54c	21,600$11,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,936	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked France	53c	21,300$11,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,011	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Sweden	47c	21,277$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Sweden	48c	20,833$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Sweden	46c	20,707$9,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,525.32	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked France	54c	20,000$10,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,300.04	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa976…43c2backed Sweden	37c	20,000$7,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,400	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed France	54c	20,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,200	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked France	53c	20,000$10,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,500	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked France	55c	20,000$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,999.99	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked France	53c	19,815$10,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,258.55	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed France	53c	18,600$9,858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,742	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed France	54c	18,500$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,599.99	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed France	55c	18,200$10,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,190	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked France	55c	17,865$9,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,039.35	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Sweden	47c	17,833$8,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,381.53	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked France	54c	17,000$9,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,820	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd832…4ab0backed France	53c	16,800$8,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,896	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked France	54c	16,440$8,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,562.27	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked France	53c	16,047$8,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,558.35	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked France	53c	16,042$8,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,539.54	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Sweden	45c	15,000$6,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,750	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed France	54c	15,000$8,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,900	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09d6…bfd6backed Sweden	47c	14,894$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked France	62c	14,610$9,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,502.46	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Sweden	0c	14,447$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.23	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed France	54c	13,889$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,388.89	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed France	54c	13,600$7,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,301.9	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France	61c	12,805$7,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,037.39	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed France	55c	12,578$6,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,659.97	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed France	45c	12,476$5,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,846.36	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: France (-1.5)this page
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: France (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event