TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,006,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,025,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,006,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,094 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under32c304,649$96,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,262.2677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c263,524$93,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,055.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over69c172,736$119,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,561.1474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under1c100,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over65c74,567$48,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,098.5115552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over65c64,370$41,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,734.012,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under28c50,378$14,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,105.7920955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over69c50,000$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,499.973345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over72c48,500$34,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,6255366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Under1c40,950$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.510443.3%45 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under33c38,145$12,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,535.3444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under9c37,868$3,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.0314544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under31c37,248$11,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,485.6315950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over66c36,695$24,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,331.852,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under25c32,444$7,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,963.6841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c28,062$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,762.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under47c25,467$11,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,908.7342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Over63c25,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2506152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Under38c21,290$8,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,090.156048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c20,390$7,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,604.741,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over68c20,304$13,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,573.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Under11c20,188$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.118037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over54c19,756$10,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,046.391,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over69c19,690$13,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,130.271,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c19,002$12,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,755.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under48c17,328$8,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,317.427039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under11c16,867$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.7119738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under21c16,675$3,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.5336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.0316947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over70c14,813$10,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,443.817416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under17c12,949$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.5243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under6c11,822$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.699525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over61c11,390$6,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,463.3824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under27c11,336$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.3336939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under24c10,800$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.5814250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under42c10,287$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,359.110851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under38c10,069$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.54055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over67c9,000$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.9914351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Over68c8,824$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.535339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over56c8,763$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.4634964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Over62c8,530$5,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.2315456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over58c8,223$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.7937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over69c8,210$5,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.022962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under13c8,206$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.2829030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under8c8,170$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.4115929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under33c8,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over68c7,500$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4007153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c7,327$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.441,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c7,304$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.672,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under48c7,291$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.1613448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over62c7,283$4,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.5436247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Under26c6,950$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.142948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over64c6,696$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.9837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebf…51cabacked Under45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+181.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over65c6,595$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.6566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under33c5,997$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.1350243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over74c5,773$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.122,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce5…9ce1backed Over69c5,752$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.111283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under31c5,751$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.9548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over70c5,740$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.217972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Over63c5,646$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.839753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under33c5,534$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.221,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under41c5,510$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25911149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over68c5,500$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over60c5,466$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under32c5,250$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.4435033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under42c4,887$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.5633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under32c4,800$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under33c4,800$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under20c4,769$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.4130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under21c4,756$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.1325942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under3c4,750$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15317827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c4,672$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Over68c4,652$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.6310060%60 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Over69c4,400$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.9824526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c4,390$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.521,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over70c4,307$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under3c4,131$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4826647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over68c4,000$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.9131232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8408453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under38c3,822$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.249243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c3,722$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.451,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over65c3,600$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.639463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over75c3,406$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.7739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under33c3,400$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.2747144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under29c3,361$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.554967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under34c3,235$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.66848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853c…d32cbacked Over68c3,120$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.414737.4%55 W · 92 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under40c3,093$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.0998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over64c2,940$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.0525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Over69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5517950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c2,844$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.754,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Under31c2,570$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.73426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae7…68d2backed Over68c2,553$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.034436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.