TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,539 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under6c38,001$2,398 inLost-$2,398.493,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under7c17,055$1,126 inLost-$1,125.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under9c10,234$950 inLost-$950.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under5c10,000$500 inLost-$499.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under9c3,571$327 inLost-$327.038615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under5c3,500$172 inLost-$17247648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under4c2,574$103 inLost-$102.9877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under6c2,316$138 inLost-$138.432,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost-$40523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under5c1,883$85 inLost-$84.872,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under8c1,485$118 inLost-$117.72,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under6c1,250$69 inLost-$68.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Under9c1,248$112 inLost-$112.323938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under6c915.54$55 inLost-$54.9395037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under3c912.83$27 inLost-$27.382,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under6c887$53 inLost-$53.221,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0508…25bebacked Under2c800$16 inLost-$161376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.38per pick39cpaid+795.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under2c749.99$15 inLost-$1511412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under5c700$32 inLost-$32.293,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under7c479.05$34 inLost-$34.432,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under5c444$22 inLost-$22.251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b9…b6ccbacked Under6c333.33$20 inLost-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under5c324.41$17 inLost-$17.021,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Under5c309.03$16 inLost-$16.0310041%41 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under5c300$16 inLost-$16.297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under10c197.5$19 inLost-$19.4248937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under6c184.5$11 inLost-$11.072,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6087…61e8backed Under12c125$15 inLost-$158627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fff…0482backed Under9c111.12$10 inLost-$102147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.