TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$456,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$566,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c47,098$8,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,881.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under12c21,391$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.8733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under16c17,132$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over77c15,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under12c14,583$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.961,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under19c13,431$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.622,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under13c12,827$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.671,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c8,312$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under13c8,072$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.3670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under13c8,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0406016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under12c7,809$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.271,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under12c6,666$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under15c6,481$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.451,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under15c5,943$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.1344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under11c4,869$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.614967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under13c4,661$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.34,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under14c4,600$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under13c4,468$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.112,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under12c4,444$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over79c4,151$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.078,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over72c3,503$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.872552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under16c3,088$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.782,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under14c2,711$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under15c2,150$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under12c2,119$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.011,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under12c2,048$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over71c1,877$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.8677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over79c1,390$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8625865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Over79c1,365$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8216033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Under13c1,120$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.26738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under10c1,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under12c1,100$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13223230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under12c1,000$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf215…79ccbacked Under7c947.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.27733.8%26 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under13c810$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.319224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over70c772.07$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.512,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over73c736$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.725341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over79c713.9$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under2c701$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9118628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under14c699.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Under14c695.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc961…db04backed Over74c669$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.943551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under13c638.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3624045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over79c625.41$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.186272.6%45 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under18c620.92$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8654…27f2backed Under7c613.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Over71c599.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1745935.6%21 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under11c564.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.116533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under11c556.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1823036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12020049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over77c463.56$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over79c457.02$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9728964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under11c454.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under13c430$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.793,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over70c403.69$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.721958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over78c394.72$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…3eb7backed Over72c371.55$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.355147.1%24 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under5c364.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under13c347.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1728945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under5c346$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5baa…272abacked Under15c340$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over74c337$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.622454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Under15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under12c319.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf418…ab79backed Under14c318.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.552466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under10c317$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.662,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under12c295.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under12c284.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9935719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under13c276.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under13c270.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.415144.4%67 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd45f…c086backed Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.165151%26 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7428251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under12c254.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under11c253.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over79c252.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5335251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over79c251.9$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.919553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.514949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over77c247.96$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5571939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…387abacked Under11c240.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Under18c235.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6323736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Under15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513125.2%33 W · 98 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Under14c232.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.579435.1%33 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Over80c222.5$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.511840.7%48 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over70c219.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5690840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under19c213.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under13c213.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.533,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Under13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under15c181.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2443139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under12c179.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.291,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.