TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f0c…ba73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$386.93
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+788.9%+$788.89
France vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
France vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$255.31
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$262.43
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$404.55
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$566.81
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$405.39
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.34
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,903Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$1,220.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.78
Exact Score: Everton FC 0 - 0 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.47
Exact Score: Everton FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.47
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$551.02
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-77.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$215.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$248.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.