Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad88e40cf31141550ec14f55823b71d402899abbe7bde0399a84a46baf701597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked No | 62c | 69,129$43,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,972.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 23,900$9,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,267.56 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 61c | 14,300$8,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,576.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 13,198$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.4 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 37c | 13,098$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d8febacked Yes | 29c | 9,910$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 8,594$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.18 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 61c | 8,535$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 7,607$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.24 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed No | 66c | 7,421$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 39c | 5,822$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 5,397$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 62c | 5,375$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.35 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 5,084$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.84 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 39c | 4,276$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 62c | 3,940$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 38c | 3,801$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 34c | 3,206$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.97 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 2,930$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.05 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes | 18c | 2,923$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Yes | 39c | 2,890$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 39c | 2,890$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.18 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,818$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 39c | 2,647$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…785bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,335$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.64 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 2,197$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.07 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 29c | 2,190$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…dcd2backed Yes | 39c | 1,577$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 1c | 1,545$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…e440backed Yes | 38c | 1,504$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.65 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 62c | 1,465$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.77 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebec…e41cbacked No | 62c | 1,419$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,341$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,305$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 61c | 1,275$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.41 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 11c | 1,047$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Yes | 37c | 1,010$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Yes | 2c | 988.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed Yes | 38c | 981.05$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 37c | 962.2$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.01 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…5822backed Yes | 38c | 942.56$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 5c | 911.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 11c | 871.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 22c | 862.21$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 39c | 827.54$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 31c | 811.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 20c | 696.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 62c | 655.77$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.19 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 39c | 650.24$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 62c | 626.8$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked No | 61c | 622.94$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 62c | 615.64$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 38c | 614.61$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 61c | 601.49$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 39c | 588.64$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 525.27$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 499.94$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 38c | 496.54$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 496.46$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 38c | 464$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 460.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 10c | 460.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 457.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 456.86$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 72c | 445.89$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 420.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…6946backed Yes | 34c | 406.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Yes | 39c | 402.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 393.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 39c | 385.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 39c | 385.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Yes | 39c | 385.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 27c | 384.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…7a05backed Yes | 39c | 383.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 38c | 366.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 69c | 363.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 39c | 324.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 39c | 296.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…b0e8backed Yes | 39c | 275.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…8cd0backed Yes | 38c | 271.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1aa…298cbacked Yes | 10c | 264.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd017…2701backed Yes | 39c | 260.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 38c | 250.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.