TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xffc7…2259

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.3
Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$495
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$56.86
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054.35
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$893
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,518.37
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.8
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.71
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$279.99
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$622
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$503.45
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+285.3%+$1,554.86
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$1,235.33
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+335%+$2,248.79
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+118%+$924.36
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Alliance (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$507.55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$524
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$792.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$259.11
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+581.6%+$1,291.17
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$138.35
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,331.57
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.36
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+359.3%+$682.65
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$159.59
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$79.79
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.46
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$172.31
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,923Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$630.73
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$259.89
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$339
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$223.53
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$186.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+84%+$160.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.31
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,087Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$1,430.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$237.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.17
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$275.47
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.72
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$424.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$155.02
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$190.66
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$71.03
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$2,076.31
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.8
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jonathan Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$138.6
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$402.1
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+172.8%+$475.75
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$848.93
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Victor Valenzuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$594
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Talita Alencar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$328.39
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,437Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$586
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Daria Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.41
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.37
UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jamie Siraj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,254.17
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$781
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.02
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$450.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$494.92
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.1
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.6
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,818
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.3
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,444.3
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,393.8
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$555.5
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$383.8
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,070.6
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,192.28
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$1,060.5
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$94.67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.77
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,949Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,531.55
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,060.4
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,818
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$402.94
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.8
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$717.1
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$5,900
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$836
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$710.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$688
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.38
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$707.99
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$890
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.3
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$787.8
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,868Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$2,171.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.55
Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Alex Hernandezbacked Tibo Colson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$1,544.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$343.4
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,484.69
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick28cpaid+340.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,848.3
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$848.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick38cpaid+221.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$743.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,606Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,424.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.06
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.2
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$160.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$404
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.