Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d12ec6d81d7c552e0583d1ab0671431198c01a4d80c0c3cf11fd0fa896cca3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 74c | 80,082$58,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,089.02 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 26c | 75,549$19,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,968.76 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 26c | 15,462$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 73c | 10,618$7,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.86 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 4,006$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.84 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 3,417$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 20c | 2,411$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.81 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 13c | 2,321$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 2,071$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.99 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,068$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.17 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 1,774$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.01 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 74c | 1,763$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.26 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 1,679$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.15 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 67c | 1,507$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.17 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 44c | 1,280$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 1,073$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.65 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Yes | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 1,033$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Yes | 26c | 1,010$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 4c | 1,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 867.89$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed No | 24c | 833.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +318.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 40c | 769.42$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 59c | 767.3$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.22 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 66c | 700.42$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 27c | 636.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 48c | 603$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.88 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 562.48$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.86 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 552.29$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 67c | 518.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 509$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.84 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 6c | 455.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 18c | 423.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 45c | 384.93$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.22 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 371.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.41 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 25c | 336$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 14c | 325.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 317.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 313.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 303.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 293.79$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 73c | 293.79$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 74c | 270.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 57c | 263$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 50c | 260.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 38c | 257$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 227.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Yes | 70c | 225$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 22c | 210.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 78c | 200.55$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 73c | 178$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 56c | 172$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 74c | 168$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 76c | 165.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 49c | 165.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 151.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed No | 74c | 134.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…6e76backed Yes | 26c | 132$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 123.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 121.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 35c | 113.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 22c | 113.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 53c | 104.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 34c | 103.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 66c | 102$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 76c | 98.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 77c | 96.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 62c | 95.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 73c | 94.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Yes | 36c | 83.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Yes | 37c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 58c | 66.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 54c | 61.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 77c | 53.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 23c | 49.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Yes | 34c | 45.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed No | 75c | 43.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 54c | 42.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Toronto FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.